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Economic Data (USA)

Thursday, February 18, 2016

Index of Leading Economic Indicators for January 2016

The Conference Board® release its Index of Leading Economic Indicators for January 2016 this morning:


Index for January: 123.2 (The baseline 100 score is associated with 2010 data.)

Predicted: -0.2%
Actual: -0.2%

Last month (revised): -0.3%


The highlighted percentage represents the month-to-month change for the index.  The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The Leading Economic Indicators Index is a composite of 10 of the nation's economic data releases that's put together by The Conference Board. Statistically, the components listed below have shown a significant increase or decrease before national economic upturns or downturns:

  1. The Standard + Poor's 500 Index

  2. Average weekly claims for unemployment insurance

  3. Building permits for new private housing

  4. The interest rate spread between the yield on the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note and Federal Funds

  5.  The Money Supply (M2)

  6. Manufacturer's new orders for consumer goods or materials

  7. Manufacturer's new orders for non-defense capital goods

  8. Average weekly manufacturing hours

  9. The Index of Consumer Expectations

  10. Leading Credit Index™

Click here to view the full Conference Board report.



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