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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending March 13, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on March 13, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +6,200,000 Barrels (+0.72%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +31,900,000 Barrels (+3.83%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 864,700,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for FEBRUARY 2026

Here is the Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for FEBRUARY, 2026:

===============================
Previous Month (unrevised): +0.5%

  • Actual: +0.7%

Change from 12 months previous:  +3.4% 
(prior - unrevised = +2.9%)

=============

Below is the PPI-FD when Food, Energy and Trade Services are removed:

Previous Month (un
revised): +0.3% 

  • Actual: +0.5%

Change from 12 months previous:  +3.5% 
(prior - unrevised = +3.4%)


===============================

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

  • PPI-FD Goods, Year-on-Year: +2.5% (prior = N/A)
  • PPI-FD Services, Year-on-Year: +3.8% (prior = N/A)


  CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

The above, yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, for goods, services and construction in the United States, for final demand.

Final Demand = personal consumption (consumers), exports, government purchases and capital investment.
 
==============

CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - FEBRUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Producer Price Index
  Final Demand (PPI-FD)
12-Month Percent Change
FEBRUARY 2026 Update

==============

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Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During FEBRUARY 2026

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for February, 2026 were released by the Federal Reserve:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.7%
Actual: +0.2% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +1.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.3%

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Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): +0.8%
Actual:  +0.2% (M/M)

  • Y/Y : +1.3%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.4%

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Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (revised): 76.3%
Actual:  76.3% (M/M)

  • Y/Y+1.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.4%

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===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE

 

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Monday, March 16, 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for JANUARY 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for January, 2026 was released by the Labor Department this morning:
=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 6,800,000
  • Actual:   6,946,000
-------------------------

  • Previous Month (revised): 6,550,000

  • Change from Previous Month: +6.05% (+396,000)
     
  • One-Year Previous: 7,431,000

  • Change from One-Year Previous: -6.53% (-485,000)


=============

HIRES: 5,294,000

HIRES vs. 12-Months Previous: +1.07% (+56,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,137,000

QUITS vs. 12-Months Previous: -2.06% (-66,000)


-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,631,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12-Months Previous: -6.16% (-107,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS §: 5,105,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12-Months Previous: -2.59% (-136,000)

=============
 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:


"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

JANUARY 2011 thru JANUARY 2026 CHART: Number of Jobless People per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
JANUARY 2011 thru JANUARY 2026
CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted

=============
=============

=============

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Friday, March 13, 2026

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): SECOND Estimate for Q4, 2025

The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its SECOND estimate for U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2025:

============

Previous quarter: +4.4%

  • Actual: +0.7%

============


The GDP is a very broad measure of economic activity for the entire United States, covering all sectors of the economy. The Commerce Department defines real GDP as, "the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States."

============ 

CHART: GDP - Quarter-to-Quarter Change Q4, 2025 - SECOND ESTIMATE
CHART: GDP - Quarter-to-Quarter Change
Q4, 2025 - SECOND ESTIMATE
============ 
 

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Durable Goods Orders During January 2026

The Durable Goods Orders report for January, 2026 was released by the Commerce Department:

================

  • New Orders: $294,344,000,000

    (+$24,319,000,000 [+9.01%]) Year-on-Year

================
CHART: Durable Goods Orders Month-on-Month Change JANUARY 2026 UPDATE (from Seasonally Adjusted Data)
CHART: Durable Goods Orders
Month-on-Month Change
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
(from Seasonally Adjusted Data)

================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the y-o-y change in new orders for durable or hard goods for immediate or future delivery from U.S. manufacturers (NOT seasonally adjusted.)

Examples of durable goods: cars, airplanes, computers, furniture -- items that are built to last at least three years.

================

================

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PCE Price Index + Personal Income + Consumer Spending Report for JANUARY 2026

The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its report on The PCE Price Index, Consumer Spending and Personal Income for January, 2026:

=============

Consumer Spending (Personal Consumption Expenditures)

Previous Reading (unrevised): +0.4%
  • Actual: +0.4%
=============

Personal Income

Previous Reading
 (unrevised)+0.3%

  • Actual: +0.4%

    • > Disposable Personal Income (DPI): +0.9% 

    • >> Real DPI: +0.7%* 

=============

The above highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in Consumer Spending (aka Personal Consumption Expenditures), Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income for the entire United States.

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update 


Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
Previous Reading 
(unrevised): +0.4%

  • Actual: +0.3% 
  • Change from 12 months previous: +2.8%
    (prior - unrevised = +2.9%)
=====================

Core PCE Price Index
( = PCE Price Index minus food and energy)
Previous Reading 
(unrevised)+0.4%
  • Actual: +0.4%
  • Change from 12 months previous: +3.1%
    (prior - unrevised = +3.0%)
=====================

The yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in the prices associated with domestic personal consumption.  The PCE Price Index is different from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in that it is a very broad measure of the prices associated with domestic products and services, while the CPI measures a more limited fixed basket of goods and services.

The broad nature of the PCE Price Index is key to why it is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.  The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) pays very close attention to it.

=====================

The "predicted" figures are what economists were expecting, while the "actual" figures are the true or real figure.

=====================
 
CHART: Changes In Monthly Consumer Spending - JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Changes In Monthly Consumer Spending
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
=====================
*Chained dollars is a method of adjusting real dollar amounts for inflation over time, so as to allow comparison of figures from different years. The Commerce Department introduced the chained-dollar measure in 1996. Chained dollars generally reflect dollar figures computed with 2012 as the base year.

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Thursday, March 12, 2026

Housing Starts During JANUARY 2026

The U.S. Commerce Department this morning released its Housing Starts report for January, 2026:

---------------------------------------------------

Housing Starts:
Previous Reading (revised): 1,387,000

  • Actual: 1,487,000

Month-on-Month Change: +7.21% (+100,000 New Units)

  • Year-on-Year Change: +9.5% (+129,000 New Units)

---------------------------------------------------

Building Permits:
Previous Reading (revised): 1,415,000

  • Actual: 1,376,000

Month-on-Month Change: -5.43% (-79,000 New Permits)

  • Year-on-Year Change: -5.75%  (-84,000 New Permits)

----------------------------------------------------

Housing Starts: The top, yellow-highlighted figure is a measure of initial construction of single and multi-family residential units in the United States for the indicated month. Seasonally adjusted annual rate. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

If you're wondering about the demand for new homes in the United States, or about the American residential construction industry in general, then you should pay attention to the monthly Housing Starts report. This report also offers insight into specific types of consumer spending: when housing starts are up, demand for the stuff that a consumer would purchase for a new home (large appliances, consumer electronics, furniture, etc.) tends to also rise -- and vice versa.


=================

CHART: Housing Starts + Building Permits + Completions - JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Housing Starts
+ Building Permits
+ Completions
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE

=================


=================
 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of March 7, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on March 7, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 215,000

  • Actual: 213,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 214,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 212,000

====================

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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending March 6, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on March 6, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +3,800,000 Barrels (+0.44%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +27,700,000 Barrels (+3.33%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 858,500,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Consumer Price Index (CPI) for FEBRUARY 2026

Earlier this morning, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February2026:


=========================================

CPI During February2026: 326.785

=========================================

Consumer Price Index (CPI); Headline

Predicted: +0.3%

->  
Actual: +0.47% (+1.533 points)

  • Year-on-Year Change+2.41% (+7.703 points)
[Y-o-Y previous = +2.39%]


=========================================

CPI, Minus Food + Energy (Core CPI)

Predicted: +0.3%

 - > 
Actual: +0.39% (+1.292 points)

  • Year-on-Year Change: +2.46% (+7.99 points)
[Y-o-Y previous = +2.5%]


=========================================

The above, yellow- and blue-highlighted figures represent month-to-month and year-on-year changes (not seasonally adjusted) in prices for a specific group of goods and services that consumers buy, and is, therefore, a very important part of the overall inflation picture for the country.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

General categories that constitute the CPI are:

  • Healthcare
  • Housing
  • Clothing
  • Communications
  • Education
  • Transportation
  • Food and Beverages
  • Recreation
  • Miscellaneous Goods and Services (grooming expenses, etc.)

========================================

CPI During February 2025: 319.082

=======================================

CHART: Consumer Price Index 12-Month Percentage Change - FEBRUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Consumer Price Index
12-Month Percentage Change
FEBRUARY 2026 Update

========================================

========================================

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Friday, March 06, 2026

Employment Situation Report for FEBRUARY 2026

The Employment Situation Report for February, 2026 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: -92,000
Previous Month (revised): +126,000
One-Year Previous: +42,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.4%
Previous Month: 
4.3%
12-Months Previous: 4.2%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.9%
Previous Month:
 8.1%
12-Months Previous: 8.0%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.4% (+$0.15)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +3.5%
Actual: +3.84% (+$1.38)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: 
+0.4% (+$5.15)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +4.14% (+$50.93)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.0%
Previous Month: 
62.1%
12-Months Previous: 62.5%

Average Weekly Hours: 34.3 hours
Previous Month (revised): 34.3 hours
One-Year Previous: 34.2 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate FEBRUARY 2006 thru FEBRUARY 2026
CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
FEBRUARY 2006 thru FEBRUARY 2026
   ===================
 
 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================


===================

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Thursday, March 05, 2026

Challenger Job Cuts Report for FEBRUARY 2026

The global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc. released its job cuts report, for FEBRUARY, 2026:

-------------------------------

Job Cuts Announced During February 2026: 48,307

  • Previous Month: 108,435
  > Change from previous month: -55.45% (-60,128 cuts)

--------------

  • One-Year Previous: 172,017
 > Change from one-year previous: -71.92% (-123,710 cuts)


===================

From Today's Report:

"...'February’s dip is a nice reprieve from the elevated job cut plans to start the year. With U.S. involvement in a growing war in Iran, the end of Q1 may bring more layoff plans as companies tighten belts amid uncertainty and higher costs,' said Andy Challenger, workplace expert and chief revenue officer for Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

'Tech is responding to a number of pressures right now. AI is the big story, but there are also global regulatory concerns, a slowdown in digital advertising driven by tariffs and economic uncertainty, and
higher costs to both employ workers and access funding, forcing companies to make difficult decisions,' said Challenger.

In 2025, companies referenced AI for 54,836 announced layoff plans, 5% of total cuts during the year. Since 2023, when this reason was first tracked, AI has been cited in 91,753 job cut announcements, approximately 3% of all 
layoff plans announced in that period..."
 ================
 
If corporate layoffs are high, consumer spending may decline, since there would be fewer people with steady jobs.

When corporate layoffs are low, this can mean that the job market is relatively tight, which can be a harbinger of wage inflation.

================

Job Cuts - Month-by-Month Totals FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.
Job Cuts - Month-by-Month Totals
FEBRUARY 2026 
UPDATE
Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.

================

=================

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of February 28, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on February 28, 2026:

====================

Predicted: 216,000

  • Actual: 213,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 213,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 215,750

====================

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Import and Export Price Indexes for JANUARY 2026

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for January, 2026:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading,
revised: +0.2%
Actual: +0.2%

  • Change From 12 Months Previous: -0.1%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = FLAT

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.6%
Actual: +0.6%


  • Change From 12 Months Previous: +2.6%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +3.1%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

  • Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
  • Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.


Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index JANUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Import Price Index
JANUARY 2026 Update
================= 

CHART: Export Price Index JANUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Export Price Index
JANUARY 2026 Update
===============

===============

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Wednesday, March 04, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending February 27, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on February 27, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +3,500,000 Barrels (+0.41%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +25,600,000 Barrels (+3.09%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 854,700,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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