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Economic Data (USA)

Thursday, July 05, 2018

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) for June 2018

Earlier today, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM®) released their Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) for June 2018:

Predicted: 58.4%
Actual: 59.1%


Previous month: 58.6%


The NMI is a reliable barometer of the U.S. services sector; above 50% implies expansion, while a reading below 50% implies that the services sector contracted.

Service categories include: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing + Hunting; Mining; Utilities; Construction; Wholesale Trade; Retail Trade; Transportation + Warehousing; Information; Finance + Insurance; Real Estate, Rental + Leasing; Professional, Scientific + Technical Services; Management of Companies + Support Services; Educational Services; Health Care + Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment + Recreation; Accommodation + Food Services; Public Administration; and Other Services (services such as Equipment + Machinery Repairing; Promoting or Administering Religious Activities; Grantmaking; Advocacy; and Providing Dry-Cleaning + Laundry Services, Personal Care Services, Death Care Services, Pet Care Services, Photofinishing Services, Temporary Parking Services, and Dating Services).


From today' report:

"...Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in June for the 101st consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®..."


Here's a sampling of comments made by survey participants:

  •         'Tariffs, freight [issues] and labor shortages continue to have an inflationary influence on costs.'

  •     'Positive outlook — business activity on the uptick.'
    (Finance and Insurance)

  •     'Shortage of IV solutions and drugs continues to be an issue.'
    (Health Care and Social Assistance)

  •     'Crude prices are causing concern, as it is a driver in newsprint inks. Tariffs on paper and aluminum are causing apprehension about future pricing. Suppliers are posturing and threatening price increases, and we are doing our best to reject increases.'

  •     'Trade tariffs are creating price uncertainty.'
    (Management of Companies and Support Services)

  •     'Domestically, we are still experiencing a shortage of transportation providers that is getting worse each month when retiring drivers or drivers moving into other opportunities are not being replaced. Internationally, there is a shortage of flat racks [that] has caused late shipments. The tariffs on steel and aluminum have also had some negative effects on our supply of material, but we have applied for exemptions.'
    (Other Services)

  •     'Oil price stabilization has led to increased hiring in some sectors of the industry, as well as a small increase in major capital projects for offshore drilling companies. Oil-field services hiring continues to be strong, as does hiring and capital spending in the petrochemical and downstream sectors of the industry.'
    (Professional, Scientific and Technical Services)

  •     'Commodity prices [are] increasing due to demand and transportation costs.'
    (Public Administration)

  •     'Sales have remained strong and are continuing to increase. Currently, we are on pace for a top-line record. The bottom line is more flat, as we have been fighting commodity cost increases and exchange-rate variances throughout the first half of 2018.'
    (Retail Trade)

  •     'Wire sales improve as contractors ramp up with the rise in copper. We’re seeing ongoing price increases in nearly all commodities due to higher freight expenses by manufacturers and shortage of truck drivers.'
    (Wholesale Trade)


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) History - June 2018 Update
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) History - June 2018 Update


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