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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Thursday, July 31, 2025

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of July 26, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on July 26, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 220,000

  • Actual: 218,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (unrevised): 217,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 221,000

====================

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Thursday, July 24, 2025

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of July 19, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on July 19, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 220,000

  • Actual: 217,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (unrevised): 221,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 224,500

====================

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Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week of July 18, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on July 18, 2025 was released this morning:

-- Change from Last Week: -3,200,000 Barrels

-- Change from A Year Ago (Y/Y): -17,500,000 Barrels

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 419,000,000 Barrels

Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Thursday, July 17, 2025

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of July 12, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on July 12, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 235,000

  • Actual: 221,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 228,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 229,500

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending July 5, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending July 5 was 1,956,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 11,000 from 1,965,000 to 1,954,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,957,500, an increase of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 20, 2021 when it was 2,004,250. The previous week's average was revised down by 2,500 from 1,955,250 to 1,952,750..."

====================

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Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for JUNE 2025

Here is the Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for JUNE 2025:


===============================


Previous Month (revised): +0.3%

  • Actual: FLAT

Change from 12 months previous:  +2.3% 
(prior - unrevised = +2.6%)

=============


Below is the PPI-FD when food, energy and trade services are removed:

Previous Month (un
revised): +0.1% 

  • Actual: FLAT

Change from 12 months previous:  +2.5% 
(prior - unrevised = +2.7%)


===============================


CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

  • PPI-FD Goods, Year-on-Year: +1.7% (prior = +1.3%)
  • PPI-FD Services, Year-on-Year: +2.7% (prior = +3.2%)


  CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

The above, yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, for goods, services and construction in the United States, for final demand.

Final Demand = personal consumption (consumers), exports, government purchases and capital investment.
 
==============

CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - JUNE 2025 Update
CHART: Producer Price Index
  Final Demand (PPI-FD)
12-Month Percent Change
JUNE 2025 Update

==============

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Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2025

Earlier this morning, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2025:


=========================================

CPI During June 2025: 322.561

=========================================

Consumer Price Index (CPI); Headline

Predicted: +0.3%

->  Actual: +0.34% (+1.096 points)

  • Year-on-Year Change+2.67% (+8.386 points)
[prior = +2.35%]


=========================================

CPI, Minus Food + Energy (Core CPI)

Predicted: +0.3%

 - > Actual: +0.261% (+0.855 point) M/M

  • Year-on-Year Change: +2.93% (+9.361 points)
[prior = +2.79%]


=========================================

The above, yellow- and blue-highlighted figures represent month-to-month and year-on-year changes (not seasonally adjusted) in prices for a specific group of goods and services that consumers buy, and is, therefore, a very important part of the overall inflation picture for the country.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

General categories that constitute the CPI are:

  • Healthcare
  • Housing
  • Clothing
  • Communications
  • Education
  • Transportation
  • Food and Beverages
  • Recreation
  • Miscellaneous Goods and Services (grooming expenses, etc.)

========================================

CPI During June 2024: 314.175

=======================================

CHART: Consumer Price Index 12-Month Percentage Change - JUNE 2025 Update
CHART: Consumer Price Index
12-Month Percentage Change
JUNE 2025 Update

========================================

========================================    

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Thursday, July 10, 2025

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of July 5, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on July 5, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 235,000

  • Actual: 227,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 232,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 235,500

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending June 28, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 28 was 1,965,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the highest level for insured unemployment since November 13, 2021 when it was 1,970,000. The previous week's level was revised down by 9,000 from 1,964,000 to 1,955,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,955,250, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 20, 2021 when it was 2,004,250. The previous week's average was revised down by 2,250 from 1,954,000 to 1,951,750..."

====================

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Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week of July 4, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on July 4, 2025 was released this morning:

-- Change from Last Week: +7,100,000 Barrels

-- Change from A Year Ago (Y/Y): -19,100,000 Barrels

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 426,000,000 Barrels

Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Thursday, July 03, 2025

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of June 28, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on June 28, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 235,000

  • Actual: 233,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 237,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 241,500

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending June 21, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 21 was 1,964,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 10,000 from 1,974,000 to 1,964,000. The 4 -week moving average was 1,954,000, an increase of 15,500 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 20, 2021 when it was 2,004,250. The previous week's average was revised down by 2,500 from 1,941,000 to 1,938,500..."

====================

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Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week of June 27, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on June 27, 2025 was released this morning:

-- Change from Last Week: +3,800,000 Barrels

-- Change from A Year Ago (Y/Y): -29,600,000 Barrels

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 419,000,000 Barrels

Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Tuesday, July 01, 2025

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for MAY 2025

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for May2025 was released by the Labor Department this morning:
=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 7,400,000
  • Actual:   7,769,000
-------------------------

  • Previous Month (revised): 7,395,000

  • One Year Previous: 7,901,000

  • Change from one year previous: -1.67% (-132,000)


=============

HIRES: 5,503,000

HIRES vs. 12 Months Previous: -1.26% (-70,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,293,000

QUITS vs. 12 Months Previous: -1.85% (-62,000)


-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,601,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12 Months Previous: -3.84% (-64,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS §: 5,242,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12 Months Previous: -1.35% (-72,000)

=============
 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:


"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

CHART: Number of Jobless People per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted - MAY 2010 thru MAY 2025
CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
MAY 2010 thru MAY
 2025

=============
=============

============= 

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Thursday, June 26, 2025

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Third (FINAL) Estimate for Q1, 2025

Earlier this morning, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its third (final) estimate for U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter of 2025:

============

Previous quarter: +2.4%

  • Actual: -0.5%

The yellow-highlighted percentage represents the first estimate of the quarter-to-quarter change for Real Gross Domestic Product for the entire United States.

============


The GDP is a very broad measure of economic activity for the entire United States, covering all sectors of the economy. The Commerce Department defines real GDP as, "the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States."

============ 
CHART: GDP - Quarter-to-Quarter Change Q1, 2025 - FINAL ESTIMATE / UPDATE
CHART: GDP - Quarter-to-Quarter Change
Q1, 2025 - FINAL ESTIMATE / UPDATE
============

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of June 21, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on June 21, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 240,000

  • Actual: 236,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 246,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 245,000

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending June 14, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 14 was 1,974,000, an increase of 37,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the highest level for insured unemployment since November 6, 2021 when it was 2,041,000. 

The previous week's level was revised down by 8,000 from 1,945,000 to 1,937,000.

The 4-week moving average was 1,941,000, an increase of 16,750 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 20, 2021 when it was 2,004,250. The previous week's average was revised down by 2,000 from 1,926,250 to 1,924,250..."

====================

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Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week of June 20, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on June 20, 2025 was released this morning:

-- Change from Last Week: -5,800,000 Barrels

-- Change from A Year Ago (Y/Y): -45,600,000 Barrels

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 415,100,000 Barrels

Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Thursday, June 19, 2025

Housing Starts During May 2025

The U.S. Commerce Department this morning released its Housing Starts report for May 2025:

---------------------------------------------------

Housing Starts:
Previous Reading (revised): 1,392,000

  • Actual: 1,256,000

Month-on-Month Change: -9.77% (-136,000 New Units)

  • Year-on-Year Change: -4.56% (-60,000 New Units)

---------------------------------------------------

Building Permits:
Previous Reading (revised): 1,407,000

  • Actual: 1,393,000

Month-on-Month Change: -2.04% (-29,000 New Permits)

  • Year-on-Year Change: -1.00%  (-14,000 New Permits)

----------------------------------------------------

Housing Starts: The top, yellow-highlighted figure is a measure of initial construction of single and multi-family residential units in the United States for the indicated month. Seasonally adjusted annual rate. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

If you're wondering about the demand for new homes in the United States, or about the American residential construction industry in general, then you should pay attention to the monthly Housing Starts report. This report also offers insight into specific types of consumer spending: when housing starts are up, demand for the stuff that a consumer would purchase for a new home (large appliances, consumer electronics, furniture, etc.) tends to also rise -- and vice versa.


=================

CHART: Housing Starts + Building Permits + Completions - MAY 2025 UPDATE
CHART: Housing Starts
+ Building Permits
+ Completions
MAY 2025 UPDATE

=================


=================

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Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Import and Export Price Indexes for May 2025

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for May 2025:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading, un
revised: +0.1%
Actual: FLAT

  • Change From 12 Months Previous: +0.2%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +0.1%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, unrevised: +0.1%
Actual: -0.9%

  • Change From 12 Months Previous: +1.7%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +2.0%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

  • Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
  • Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.


Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index MAY 2025 Update
CHART: Import Price Index
MAY 2025 Update
================= 

CHART: Export Price Index MAY 2025 Update
CHART: Export Price Index
MAY 2025 Update
===============

===============

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Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week of June 13, 2025

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on June 13, 2025 was released this morning:

-- Change from Last Week: -11,500,000 Barrels

-- Change from A Year Ago (Y/Y): -36,200,000 Barrels

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 420,900,000 Barrels

Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of June 14, 2025

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on June 14, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 245,000

  • Actual: 245,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 250,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 245,500

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The 4-week moving average was 245,500, an increase of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since August 19, 2023 when it was 246,000. The previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 240,250 to 240,750.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending June 7, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 7 was 1,945,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 5,000 from 1,956,000 to 1,951,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,926,250, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 20, 2021 when it was 2,004,250. The previous week's average was revised down by 1,250 from 1,914,500 to 1,913,250..."

====================

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Tuesday, June 17, 2025

U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for May 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for May 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): -0.1%

  • Actual: -0.91% (-$6,566,000,000)
=================

The yellow-highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month , seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

  • Est. Retail Sales During May 2025: $715,417,000,000
  • Change From A Year Ago: +3.29% (+$22,782,000,000)

=================
CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly January 2005 Thru May 2025 - MAY 2025 UPDATE
CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru May
2025
MAY 2025 UPDATE

=================

================= 

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Thursday, June 12, 2025

Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for MAY 2025

Here is the Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for May 2025:


===============================


Previous Month (revised): -0.2%

  • Actual: +0.1%

Change from 12 months previous:  +2.6% 
(prior - unrevised = +2.4%)

=============


Below is the PPI-FD when food, energy and trade services are removed:

Previous Month (
revised): -0.1% 

  • Actual: +0.1%

Change from 12 months previous:  +2.7% 
(prior - unrevised = +2.9%)


===============================


CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

  • PPI-FD Goods, Year-on-Year: +1.3% (prior = +0.5%)
  • PPI-FD Services, Year-on-Year: +3.2% (prior = +3.3%)


  CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

The above, yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, for goods, services and construction in the United States, for final demand.

Final Demand = personal consumption (consumers), exports, government purchases and capital investment.
 
==============

CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - MAY 2025 Update
CHART: Producer Price Index
  Final Demand (PPI-FD)
12-Month Percent Change
MAY 2025 Update

==============

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