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Economic Data (USA)

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Leading Economic Index for September 2016

The Conference Board® released its Leading Economic Index® for September 2016 this morning:


Index for September: 124.4 (The baseline 100 score is associated with 2010 data.)

Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: +0.2%

  • Previous Month: -0.2%

  • 2 Months Previous: +0.5%

The yellow-highlighted percentage represents the month-to-month change for the index.  The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The Leading Economic Indicators Index is a composite of 10 of the nation's economic data releases that's put together by The Conference Board. Statistically, the components listed below have shown a significant increase or decrease before national economic upturns or downturns:

  1. The Standard + Poor's 500 Index

  2. Average weekly claims for unemployment insurance

  3. Building permits for new private housing

  4. The interest rate spread between the yield on the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note and Federal Funds

  5. ISM® Index of New Orders

  6. Manufacturer's new orders for consumer goods or materials

  7. Manufacturers' new orders, nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft orders

  8. Average weekly manufacturing hours

  9. Average consumer expectations for business conditions

  10. Leading Credit Index™

Click here to view the full Conference Board report. 

Click here to view the full Conference Board report with Technical Notes.

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