Leading Economic Index for January 2017

The Conference Board® released its Leading Economic Index® for January 2017 this morning:

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Index for January: 125.5 (The baseline 100 score is associated with 2010 data.)

Predicted: +0.4%

Actual: +0.6%

• Previous Month: +0.5%
  
  
• Two Months Previous: +0.2%

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The yellow-highlighted percentage represents the month-to-month change for the index.  The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The Leading Economic Indicators Index is a composite of 10 of the nation's economic data releases that's put together by The Conference Board. Statistically, the components listed below have shown a significant increase or decrease before national economic upturns or downturns:

1. The Standard + Poor's 500 Index
   
   
2. Average weekly claims for unemployment insurance
   
   
3. Building permits for new private housing
   
   
4. The interest rate spread between the yield on the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note and Federal Funds
   
   
5. ISM® Index of New Orders
   
   
6. Manufacturer's new orders for consumer goods or materials
   
   
7. Manufacturers' new orders, nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft orders
   
   
8. Average weekly manufacturing hours
   
   
9. Average consumer expectations for business conditions
   
   
10. Leading Credit Index™
    

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From Today's Report:

"...'The U.S. Leading Economic Index increased sharply again in January, pointing to a positive economic outlook in the first half of this year,' said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. 'The January gain was broad based among the leading indicators. If this trend continues, the U.S. economy may even accelerate in the near term'..."

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report.

• Click here to view the full Conference Board report with Technical Notes.

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