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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Friday, March 17, 2017

Leading Economic Index for February 2017

The Conference Board® released its Leading Economic Index® for February 2017 this morning:

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Index for February: 126.2 (The baseline 100 score is associated with 2010 data.)

Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.6%

  • Previous Month: +0.6

  • Two Months Previous: +0.6

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The yellow-highlighted percentage represents the month-to-month change for the index.  The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

The Leading Economic Indicators Index is a composite of 10 of the nation's economic data releases that's put together by The Conference Board. Statistically, the components listed below have shown a significant increase or decrease before national economic upturns or downturns:

  1. The Standard + Poor's 500 Index

  2. Average weekly claims for unemployment insurance

  3. Building permits for new private housing

  4. The interest rate spread between the yield on the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note and Federal Funds

  5. ISM® Index of New Orders

  6. Manufacturer's new orders for consumer goods or materials

  7. Manufacturers' new orders, nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft orders

  8. Average weekly manufacturing hours

  9. Average consumer expectations for business conditions

  10. Leading Credit Index™

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Leading Economic Index for February 2017
Leading Economic Index for February 2017
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From Today's Report:

"...'After six consecutive monthly gains, the U.S. LEI is at its highest level in over a decade. Widespread gains across a majority of the leading indicators points to an improving economic outlook for 2017, although GDP growth is likely to remain moderate,' said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. 'Only housing permits contributed negatively to the LEI in February, reversing gains over the previous two months.'..."

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