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Economic Data (USA)

Wednesday, February 05, 2020

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) for January 2020

Earlier today, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM®) released their Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) for January 2020:

Predicted: 55.2%
  • Actual: 55.5% (+0.6 point month-on-month change)


Previous month: 54.9%


The NMI is a reliable barometer of the U.S. services sector; above 50% implies expansion, while a reading below 50% implies that the services sector contracted.

Service Categories Include: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing + Hunting; Mining; Utilities; Construction; Wholesale Trade; Retail Trade; Transportation + Warehousing; Information; Finance + Insurance; Real Estate, Rental + Leasing; Professional, Scientific + Technical Services; Management of Companies + Support Services; Educational Services; Health Care + Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment + Recreation; Accommodation + Food Services; Public Administration; and Other Services (services such as Equipment + Machinery Repairing; Promoting or Administering Religious Activities; Grantmaking; Advocacy; and Providing Dry-Cleaning + Laundry Services, Personal Care Services, Death Care Services, Pet Care Services, Photofinishing Services, Temporary Parking Services, and Dating Services).


From today' report:

"..Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in January for the 120th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®..."


Here's a sampling of comments made by survey participants:

  •     “Outlook remains favorable for growth in 2020. Pricing on goods and services [are] stable, with little to no pricing escalations expected for the remainder of the first quarter, except for seasonal- and trade/tariff-related impacts on food products.”
     (Accommodation & Food Services)

  •     “Q1 sales are improving, which makes us more optimistic.”

  •     “Cautious start to 2020. Looking forward with optimism and encouragement. Conditions are favorable.”
     (Finance & Insurance)

  •     “Closely monitoring China’s coronavirus and its potential impact on medical supplies like surgical masks and protective goggles.”
     (Health Care & Social Assistance)

  •     “The labor market continues to be a challenge, impacting capacity and pushing up costs. Despite this, overall business volume remains positive, with growth in key sectors for our business.”
     (Management of Companies & Support Services)

  •     “The oil and gas industry is off to a slow start in 2020, as oil prices dropped slightly to start the year. Companies continue to be highly disciplined about hiring direct employees or contractors and making capital investments that drive hiring. Several notable oil and gas companies announced layoffs in the first week of January 2020.”
     (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)

  •     “Customer inquiries are strong to start the new year.”
     (Real Estate, Rental & Leasing)

  •     “Activity is fair overall, but with regional ups and downs. The West in general has been favorable due to snowfall increasing sales activity, while the East has been down due to warmer weather in key winter tire markets. Optimism for the month, however, is good.”
     (Wholesale Trade)



ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) - 12 Month History - January 2020 Update
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) - 12 Month History

January 2020 Update


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