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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Monday, March 02, 2020

ISM Manufacturing Index for February 2020

Earlier today, the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for February 2020:

Predicted: 50.4%

  • Actual: 50.1% (-0.8 point month-on-month change)

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Previous month: 50.9%

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Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

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From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew in February, and the overall economy grew for the 130th consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®...."
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The following is a sampling of quotes from a diverse pool of U.S. manufacturers:


  •     “There are always supply chain challenges with Lunar New Year shutdowns, and this year is no different. Coronavirus is wreaking havoc on the electronics industry. Companies are delayed in starting up production, which is resulting in longer lead times, constraints and increased pricing. It's a mad dash to dual source stateside in case China isn't back online soon.”
     (Computer + Electronic Products)

  •     “January started out strong, but the effects of the virus in China [and] the continued grounding of the 737 Max have suppressed new orders. We are still expected to be flat to slightly up [year-over-year] for 2020 sales, based on those issues.”
     (Chemical Products)

  •     “Layoffs are here.”
     (Transportation Equipment)

  •     “Coronavirus and its impact on the supply chain: We will see some softness in demand, but also [experience] havoc on items sourced from China that may cause significant delays to production.”
     (Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products)

  •     “Energy markets seem to be responding to a potential drop in demand that may be related to responses [to] the coronavirus.”
     (Petroleum + Coal Products)

  •     “Coronavirus continues to be front and center as a major supply chain risk to our company. Access to information in China — from our supply base and customers — is slow to come by.”
     (Fabricated Metal Products)

  •     “Sales continue to be strong, with the supply base able to support as required. The major concern is the China virus and what that crisis could affect in getting parts. The company is putting plans in place to source out locations, especially in the U.S., for parts.”
     (Machinery)

  •     “Business continues to be strong. We had a little January slowdown, but February has been fantastic.”
     (Plastics + Rubber Products)

  •     “We have seen an increase of sales for our products.”
     (Furniture + Related Products)

  •     “Current favorable forecast to budget for first-quarter sales.”
     (Primary Metals)


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ISM Manufacturing Index - 12 Month History - February 2020 Update

ISM Manufacturing Index - 12 Month History
February 2020 Update

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