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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Friday, May 01, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for APRIL 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for April, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 53.0%

  • Actual: 52.7% (month-on-month = FLAT)

=========

Previous month: 52.7%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in April for the fourth consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report..."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  •    “Demand for manufactured goods is trending higher versus last year; however, geopolitical uncertainty and rising oil and diesel prices continue to weigh on demand. Many customers are exercising caution and remain in a wait-and-watch mode.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • Continued tariffs on products utilized in our product lines are being monitored by the business, with the business working to mitigate or limit tariff risk. Geopolitical risk, especially in the Middle East, as it pertains to commodity and energy markets remains a concern and is being monitored by the business. Supply chain risk concerns pertaining to increased cost and transit time for rerouted shipments due to conflict in the Red Sea, Strait of Hormuz and Suez Canal. These conditions are being monitored by the business and rerouting measures have been implemented where possible.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • “Continuing fluctuation in U.S. tariffs as well as market constraints for certain materials are affecting our current business. U.S. support of AI-related industry is also in flux which is causing some customer and investment hesitancy.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]
     
  • “Revenues are very strong. However, price increases are similar to a few years ago with the supply chain crisis. All imports from China are up 15 percent to 25 percent, which is impossible for us to absorb or to fully pass along. Our suppliers in China are telling us that oil is at an all-time high, which is putting huge challenges on their cost structures.”
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • “General uncertainty over the total impact of the U.S.-Iran war. Have not yet started to see the full impact of fuel increases but are aware they are coming.”
     [Machinery]
     
  • “Business levels have been decent this year, in line with the same period last year and improved from the second half of 2025. However, higher cost pressures are impacting margins.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  • “Commodity markets remain mixed, with pockets of easing offset by ongoing volatility. Dairy and some soft commodities have cooled, while oils and grain-related inputs remain elevated given biofuel demand and feed costs. Pricing is still sensitive to policy changes, weather and global trade dynamics.”
     [Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products]
     
  • “Our business remains strong and stable, but there are a lot of concerns in the geopolitical arena. If the Iran conflict persists, the impact on market pricing and supply continuity could be extreme. Electronics component market remains very volatile (pricing and continuity) based on AI.”
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index April 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
April 2026 Update
=========
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History April 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
April 2026 Update
=========

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Thursday, April 16, 2026

Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During MARCH 2026

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for March, 2026 were released by the Federal Reserve:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.7%
Actual: -0.5% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +0.7%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.4%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): +0.4%
Actual:  -0.1% (M/M)

  • Y/Y : +0.5%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.3%

www.FedPrimeRate.com


Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (revised): 76.1%
Actual:  75.7% 

  • Y/Y+1.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.4%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization - MARCH 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
MARCH 2026 UPDATE

 

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Sunday, April 12, 2026

U.S. Factory Shipments (New Orders) During FEBRUARY 2026

The U.S. Census Bureau this morning released their report on Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and New Orders -- also known as Factory Orders -- for February, 2026:

========

Predicted: +0.5%

  • Actual: +0.4% (+2,297,000,000)

========

  • February, 2026 New Orders: $578,812,000,000.

  • January, 2026 New Orders: $576,515,000,000.


========

  • Change from 12 Months Ago (Year-on-Year):

    +$22,453,000,000 (+4.04%) 

 ========

The highlighted percentages represent the month-on-month and year-on-year changes in new shipments for both durable and nondurable goods made by U.S. manufacturers; n
ot seasonally adjusted.

=============

CHART: U.S. Factory Orders FEBRUARY 2026 Update (seasonally adjusted.)
CHART: U.S. Factory Orders
FEBRUARY 2026 Update
(
seasonally adjusted.)

=============


=============

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Wednesday, April 08, 2026

Durable Goods Orders During FEBRUARY 2026

The Durable Goods Orders report for February, 2026 was released by the Commerce Department:

================

  • New Orders: $296,529,000,000

    (+$19,942,000,000 [+7.21%]) Year-on-Year

================
CHART: Durable Goods Orders Month-on-Month Change FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE (from Seasonally Adjusted Data)
CHART: Durable Goods Orders
Month-on-Month Change
FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE
(from Seasonally Adjusted Data)

================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the y-o-y change in new orders for durable or hard goods for immediate or future delivery from U.S. manufacturers (NOT seasonally adjusted.)

Examples of durable goods: cars, airplanes, computers, furniture -- items that are built to last at least three years.

================

================

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Thursday, April 02, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for MARCH 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for March, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 52.1%

  • Actual: 52.7% (+0.3 point month-on-month change)

=========

Previous month: 52.4%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in March for the third consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report..."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  •     “This is expected to be a transition year for the U.S. trucking market, with gradual stabilization driven by capacity tightening and replacement demand instead of growth. Demand should stay constrained by weak carrier profitability and high equipment costs but improve modestly late in the year.”
     [Transportation Equipment]

  •     “Changes in the tariff structure are bringing cautious opportunities to offset significant costs for the balance of 2026. The actions in Iran, however, add a new wrinkle to energy costs throughout the world, including India. We continue to try and plan for the unpredictable and unexpected.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  •     “We’re seeing steady increases in activity, but geopolitical issues and the Iran war are already waning sentiment.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  •     “Customer orders have increased considerably as the construction market remains strong, resulting in higher production volume and increased forecasts to suppliers.”
     [Machinery]
     
  •     “Current Middle East unrest is already starting to impact business operations by increasing lead times, costs, container delays and the like.”
     [Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products]
     
  •     “Lots of relief from Supreme Court striking down (emergency) tariffs, particularly with organic cane sugar from Brazil.”
     [Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products]
     
  •     “Ongoing geopolitical instability has emerged as a persistent factor influencing global trade dynamics. We anticipate strategic realignment of supply chains as organizations respond to energy market volatility and shifting trade policies. In light of these macroeconomic headwinds, we -- like most organizations -- are maintaining a cautious posture regarding investment commitments while continuing to monitor market conditions closely. Our purchasing strategy is being recalibrated to address supply chain vulnerabilities exposed by energy market volatility and evolving trade protectionism.”
     [Chemical Products]
     
  •     “Metal commodity prices continue to put pressure on mechanical commodities. Memory price escalation is causing large cost increases that cannot be mitigated in other areas of the product cost.”
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  •     “The Middle East war has created domestic and global turmoil for the olefins and polyolefins business. Feedstocks and finished product pricing are accelerating dramatically as Middle Eastern and Asian producers suffer from shipping blockages. Global customers for packaging resins are scrambling to cover needs from North America and South America in the face of supply chain complications.”
     [Plastics + Rubber Products]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index March 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
March 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History March 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
March 2026 Update
=========

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Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During FEBRUARY 2026

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for February, 2026 were released by the Federal Reserve:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.7%
Actual: +0.2% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +1.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.3%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): +0.8%
Actual:  +0.2% (M/M)

  • Y/Y : +1.3%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.4%

www.FedPrimeRate.com


Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (revised): 76.3%
Actual:  76.3%

  • Y/Y+1.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.4%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE

 

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Friday, March 13, 2026

Durable Goods Orders During January 2026

The Durable Goods Orders report for January, 2026 was released by the Commerce Department:

================

  • New Orders: $294,344,000,000

    (+$24,319,000,000 [+9.01%]) Year-on-Year

================
CHART: Durable Goods Orders Month-on-Month Change JANUARY 2026 UPDATE (from Seasonally Adjusted Data)
CHART: Durable Goods Orders
Month-on-Month Change
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
(from Seasonally Adjusted Data)

================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the y-o-y change in new orders for durable or hard goods for immediate or future delivery from U.S. manufacturers (NOT seasonally adjusted.)

Examples of durable goods: cars, airplanes, computers, furniture -- items that are built to last at least three years.

================

================

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Monday, March 02, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for FEBRUARY 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for February, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 52.0%

  • Actual: 52.4% (-0.2 point month-on-month change)

=========

Previous month: 52.6%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in February for the second straight month but only the third time in 40 months, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report....."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:


  • Today, American produced commodities like steel and aluminum are the highest priced in the world, by far. Hence, the Section 232 tariff policy is having the exact opposite effect of their intention on an American manufacturer like us: It is raising prices while lowering demand and profitability.
     [Transportation Equipment]
  • “Economic activity seems to be also challenging for this year. Some recovery in certain sectors in the economy but still lot of cost pressures and soft demand. Cost discipline is the priority.”
     [Chemical Products]

  • “January sales continued to provide positive indications for growth opportunities. Data center, health care, and food and beverages remain positive growth areas. We continue to receive price increase notifications from suppliers based on unsupported tariff claims and are expanding corporate staff to support sales growth.”
     [Chemical Products]

  • “South American instability has begun to be a factor for our suppliers and inventory management.”
     [Petroleum & Coal Products]
     
  • “Pricing for outside purchases has stabilized. We are spending significant effort to work with our supply base to mitigate tariff impacts. Backlog is at a healthy level.”
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]
     
  • “Overall orders and supply footprint are improving. As we review customer demand, we are also taking several categories of established materials and supplies out to RFP for review and cost improvements -- in particular, printed circuit assemblies, plastics, sheet metal assemblies and motorized assemblies. This will help ease the burden of tariff and customer impacts as we broaden our supplier base to a more regional footprint.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]

  • Continue to be impacted by tariffs. Seeing metals prices rise too. Business is steady, but domestic growth is slower than expected.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]
     
  • “Business was slow in January. Many orders pulled into end of 2025 to meet revenue goals. Order book is strong going forward.”
     [Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components]
     
  • “Tariff policy changes affect total acquisition costs and purchasing source decisions. So far this year, tariff instability still exists. Due to the tariffs, most raw materials used in manufacturing, such as steel and wire, need to be sourced domestically, and the cost keeps going up.”
     [Machinery]
     
  • “Business is improving by the week. Backlog is growing, and new opportunities are everywhere. Monthly shipments are still lower than planned, but improving. Over the past five years, we spent thousands trying to attract new employees and had almost zero responses. In the last six months, however, we’ve been able to hire experienced engineers, computer numerical control (CNC) operators, and young people wanting to become CNC machinists.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index February 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
February 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History February 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
February 2026 Update
=========

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Tuesday, February 24, 2026

U.S. Factory Shipments During DECEMBER 2025

The U.S. Census Bureau this morning released their report on Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders -- also known as Factory Orders -- for December, 2025:

========

Predicted: -0.5%

  • Actual: -0.7% (-4,332,000,000)

========

  • December, 2025 New Orders: $617,527,000,000.

  • November, 2025 New Orders: $621,859,000,000.


========

  • Change from 12 Months Ago (Year-on-Year):

    +$36,571,000,000 | +6.24% (not seasonally adjusted)

 ========

The yellow-highlighted percentage is the seasonally adjusted, month-to-month change in new shipments for both durable and nondurable goods made by U.S. manufacturers. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=============

CHART: U.S. Factory Orders - DECEMBER 2025 Update
CHART: U.S. Factory Orders
DECEMBER 2025 Update

=============


=============

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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During JANUARY 2026

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for January, 2026 were released by the Federal Reserve:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.2%
Actual: +0.7% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +2.3%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.0%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): FLAT
Actual:  +0.6% (M/M)

  • Y/Y : +2.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.0%

www.FedPrimeRate.com


Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (revised): 75.7%
Actual:  76.2%

  • Y/Y+1.4%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.5%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization - JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE

 

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Tuesday, February 03, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for JANUARY 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for January, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 49.0%

  • Actual: 52.6% (+4.7 points month-on-month change)

=========

Previous month: 47.9%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in January for the first time in 12 months, preceded by 26 straight months of contraction, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report...."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:


  •      ' ‘Hope’ has been word of the year in the Transportation Equipment industry. Unfortunately, all the hope in the world has not materialized into order activity in 2025 or the first half of 2026. Across the board, buyers continue to stand on the sidelines. As we enter 2026, every conversation revolves around hope that the second half of 2026 starts the turnaround. It’s hard to set strategy on hope, but thanks to the uncertainty brought about by this administration, here we are.'
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  •     'Although our volume is low at the moment, the impact on the latest tariff threats on the European Union will have a huge negative impact on our profit for current quoted orders. We will not be able to recover the increase tariffs in our current quotations.'
     [Machinery]
     
  •     'Continuing softness in the market, with December orders below average and buyers reluctant to spend despite beneficial tax policies in the U.S. Geopolitical tensions are fueling ‘anti-American’ buyer sentiment, and sales are being lost.'
     [Machinery]
     
  •     'Another round of emotionally charged tariffs seems imminent, changing the landscape once more. Movement of custom product out of China continues, but the progress is slow with new qualifications required for transitioned materials and assemblies.'
     [Computer & Electronic Products]
     
  •     'Business conditions remain uncertain. Customers are cautious. Broad-based inflation continues. The Supreme Court tariff decision looms.' [Computer & Electronic Products] 
  •     'Growing construction markets, data centers and energy projects, are straining the contract labor availability. The trade tariff uncertainty is creating volatility in the supply chain.'
     [Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products]
     
  •     'A new year, with new challenges. We are moving manufacturing from China to Mexico -- which will now impose tariffs on parts made in China. This push for more of a Mexican supply chain and creates some short-term supply management concerns.'
     [Chemical Products]
     
  •     'Confused and uninformed tariff policies continue to plague small companies, making long-term planning pointless. Companies are not making capital commitments beyond 30 days.'
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  •     'Business conditions remain soft as we continue to miss sales, orders and profits as result of increased costs from tariffs, continued fallout from the government shutdown, and increased global uncertainty.'
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]
     
  •     'Business trends moving into 2026 feature many of the headwinds from the third and fourth quarters of 2025. While the ‘plane’ has steadied, there continues to be uncertainty and added costs through our global operations.

    Tariff impacts on our financial performance last year cannot be overstated, as we had a much smaller EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) than previous years. While other inflationary pressures continue to hit the business, tariffs and product costs played a large role. This year, we will continue our multi-country sourcing approach to manufacture and import product from more tariff-friendly countries outside of China

    But as we know, nothing is guaranteed with the current administration. We have trimmed costs everywhere inside the business, including on labor and conferences, and reduced our revenue forecast to a much more achievable mark. We’re prepared to battle throughout the year for higher profitability.'
     [Apparel, Leather & Allied Products]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index January 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
January 2026 Update
=========
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History January 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
January 2026 Update
=========

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Friday, January 16, 2026

Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During DECEMBER 2025

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for December, 2025 were released by the Federal Reserve this morning:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.4%
Actual: +0.4% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +2.0%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +2.5%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): +0.3%
Actual:  +0.2% (M/M)

  • Y/Y : +2.0%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.9%

www.FedPrimeRate.com


Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (revised): 76.1%
Actual:  76.3%

  • Y/Y+1.5%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.5%

www.FedPrimeRate.com

===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization - DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE

 

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