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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Wednesday, May 14, 2025

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (SBOI) for APRIL 2025

The National Federation of Independent Business® (NFIB®) released its Small Business Optimism Index (SBOI) for April 2025:
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Predicted: 95.0
  • Actual: 95.8

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  • Change from Previous Month: -1.64 % (-1.6 points.)
  • Change from A Year Ago: +6.8% (+6.1 points.)

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CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - APRIL 2025 Update
CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
APRIL 2025 Update 

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  • The baseline "100" score is associated with 1986 survey data.
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From the Report:
 
"...The Small Business Optimism Index fell by 1.6 points in April to 95.8, the second consecutive month below the 51-year average of 98. Of the 10 Optimism Index components, three increased, six decreased, and one was unchanged. Expected business conditions and unfilled job openings contributed the most to the decline in the Index. The Uncertainty Index fell 4 points from March to 92...

CREDIT MARKETS
...A net 5% reported their last loan was harder to get than in previous attempts, down 1 point from March. Three percent reported that financing and interest rates were their top business problem in April, unchanged for the fourth consecutive month. A net 6% of owners reported paying a higher rate on their most recent loan, up 2 points from March. The average rate paid on short maturity loans was 8.9 percent, unchanged from March. Twenty-six percent of all owners reported borrowing on a regular basis, down 2 points from March. High mortgage rates have slowed housing activity, a damper on GDP growth. But loan availability is good....

..Very few small businesses export their goods and services, but millions acquire imported goods as inputs to their operations and those supply chains are currently at risk. Tariff policy is suddenly and dramatically changing relative prices (costs), and relative prices drive all decisions. Uncertainly remains elevated and thus caution clouds spending, hiring, and investing decisions. Currently, the Uncertainty Index stands at 92, the 51-year average is 68. The average since 2016 is 80..."
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  • Previous Month's SBOI: 97.4
  • SBOI, 12-Months Previous: 89.7
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