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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Friday, February 06, 2015

Employment Situation Report for January 2015

The Employment Situation report for January 2015 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 5.6%
Actual: 5.7%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +230,000
Actual: +257,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.5%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.6 hrs
Actual: 34.6 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for January 2015

The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for this month (January 2015) was released by The Conference Board this morning:

Predicted: 96.0
Actual: 102.9

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Every month, The Conference Board sends a questionnaire to 5,000 U.S. households. Survey participants are polled about their feelings regarding the U.S. economy, current and future, and about their own fiscal circumstances. On average, 3,500 participants complete and return the 5-question survey.

The baseline "100" score for the CCI is linked to 1985 survey data.

When consumers feel good about the economy, they tend to do more spending, and vice versa.

Based in New York City, The Conference Board is a private, not-for-profit organization with a mission to, "create and disseminate knowledge about management and the marketplace to help businesses strengthen their performance and better serve society."

The CCI is almost always released on the last Tuesday of the month.

Last month, the CCI was 93.1 (revised)

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Friday, January 09, 2015

Employment Situation Report for December 2014

The Employment Situation report for December 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 5.7%
Actual: 5.6%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +238,000
Actual: +240,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: -0.2%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.6 hrs
Actual: 34.6 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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Friday, December 05, 2014

Employment Situation Report for November 2014

The Employment Situation report for November 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 5.8%
Actual: 5.8%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +230,000
Actual: +321,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: +0.4%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.6 hrs
Actual: 34.6 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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Friday, November 07, 2014

Employment Situation Report for October 2014

The Employment Situation report for October 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 5.9%
Actual: 5.8%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +240,000
Actual: +214,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: +0.1%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.6 hrs
Actual: 34.6 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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Monday, November 03, 2014

ISM Manufacturing Index for October 2014

Earlier today, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released their Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) for October 2014:

Predicted: 56.0%
Actual: 59.0%

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the factory sector contracted.

Last month, the PMI was 56.6%.

The following is a sampling of quotes from a diverse pool of U.S. manufacturers:

"...'Holiday orders are exceeding seasonal forecasts. Customers are demanding additional quantities above prior orders. Fuel costs and other positive signals appear to be creating demand above normal.'
(Food, Beverage and Tobacco Products)

    'Weakness in commodity prices very positive on our business.'
(Fabricated Metal Products)

    'We continue to see strong demand across multiple sectors.'
(Transportation Equipment)

    'Another strong month in terms of business growth.'
(Computer and Electronic Products)

    'Demand in the United States is consistent and geopolitics remain a concern.'
(Chemical Products)

    'Production is oversupplying demand, and prices have softened.'
(Wood Products)

    'Business steady and strong.'
(Furniture and Related Products)

    'Outer body material changes in the auto industry means new equipment and manufacturing growth...'
(Machinery)"


Click here to view the complete ISM report.

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Friday, October 03, 2014

Employment Situation Report for September 2014

The Employment Situation report for September 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 6.1%
Actual: 5.9%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +215,000
Actual: +248,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: 0.0%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.5 hrs
Actual: 34.6 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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Thursday, October 02, 2014

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of September 27, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on September 27, 2014:

Predicted: 297,000
Actual: 287,000

Last Week (Revised): 295,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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Thursday, September 25, 2014

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of September 20, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on September 20, 2014:

Predicted: 300,000
Actual: 293,000

Last Week (Revised): 281,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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Friday, September 05, 2014

Employment Situation Report for August 2014

The Employment Situation report for August 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 6.1%
Actual: 6.1%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +230,000
Actual: +142,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: 0.2%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.5 hrs
Actual: 34.5 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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Thursday, September 04, 2014

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 30, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on August 30, 2014:

Predicted: 300,000
Actual: 302,000

Last Week (Revised): 298,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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Wednesday, September 03, 2014

U.S. Factory Orders Report for July 2014

The U.S. Census Bureau this morning released their report on manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories & Orders -- also known as Factory Orders -- for July 2014:

Predicted: +10.9%
Actual: +10.5%

The above percentages represent the month-to-month change in orders for both durable and nondurable goods made by from U.S. manufacturers. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Census Bureau report.

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Tuesday, September 02, 2014

ISM Manufacturing Index for August 2014

Earlier today, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released their Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) for August 2014:

Predicted: 56.8%
Actual: 59.0%

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the factory sector contracted.

Last month, the PMI was 57.1%.

The following is a sampling of quotes from a diverse pool of U.S. manufacturers:

"...'Business is looking good for food manufacturing. Packaging materials prices are staying in check, minimum wage is up a bit, but manageable.'
(Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)

    'The commercial building business is good, our business is up.'
(Fabricated Metal Products)

    'Overall business conditions are flat. World issues taking a toll on business. Consumers are cutting back on spending.'
(Transportation Equipment)

    'Overall business is improving. Order backlog is increasing. Quotes are increasing. Much more positive outlook in our sector.'
(Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)

    'Business in the energy sector continues to remain very robust with no signs of backing off in the near future.'
(Computer & Electronic Products)

    'Demand in the United States is consistent and geopolitics remain a concern.'
(Chemical Products)

    'International markets are slower due to Euro holidays, political unrest and slowing Chinese markets. North American business off slightly.'
(Wood Products)

    'Business is strong. Labor is becoming a difficult issue.'
(Furniture & Related Products)

    'Demand is strong. Numbers are up over last year.'
(Machinery)

    'Strongest month in years. Business is solid...Awesome!'
(Primary Metals)..."

Click here to view the complete ISM report.

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Thursday, August 21, 2014

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 16, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on August 16, 2014:

Predicted: 300,000
Actual: 298,000

Last Week (Revised): 312,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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Friday, August 01, 2014

Employment Situation Report for July 2014

The Employment Situation report for July 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 6.1%
Actual: 6.2%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +233,000
Actual: +209,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: 0.0%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.5 hrs
Actual: 34.5 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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ISM Manufacturing Index for July 2014

Earlier today, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released their Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) for July 2014:

Predicted: 56.0%
Actual: 57.1%

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the factory sector contracted.

Last month, the PMI was 55.3%.

The following is a sampling of quotes from a diverse pool of U.S. manufacturers:

"...'Status quo...sales are okay (not great). Costs are generally flat.'
(Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)

    'We see slow growth in business as we see a slow growing economy.'
(Fabricated Metal Products)

    'Business is still very good and we are very optimistic for the rest of the year.'
(Transportation Equipment)

    'Bookings down, but shipments strong.'
(Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)

    'Overall business conditions still good in our industry.'
(Computer & Electronic Products)

    'Geopolitics still present a considerable risk as well as the European market.'
(Chemical Products)

    'Contractors are very busy. Difficult time getting many to bid, especially electrical.'
(Paper Products)

    'Salaries for engineering labor continue to increase above general inflation due to market competition and shortages in certain specialty skills.'
(Petroleum & Coal Products)

    'Economy shows many signs of strength.'
(Machinery)

    'Russia's demand for medical devices from the U.S. has dropped by 40 percent.'
(Miscellaneous Manufacturing)..."

Click here to view the complete ISM report.

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Thursday, July 31, 2014

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of July 26, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on July 26, 2014:

Predicted: 305,000
Actual: 302,000

Last Week (Revised): 279,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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Thursday, July 24, 2014

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of July 19, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on July 19, 2014:

Predicted: 310,000
Actual: 284,000

Last Week (Revised): 303,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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Thursday, July 03, 2014

Employment Situation Report for June 2014

The Employment Situation report for June 2014 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Unemployment Rate
Predicted: 6.3%
Actual: 6.1%

Non-farm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +211,000
Actual: +288,000


Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: 0.2%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.5 hrs
Actual: 34.5 hrs

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of June 28, 2014

Earlier today, the Labor Department released the New Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week that ended on June 28, 2014:

Predicted: 314,000
Actual: 315,000

Last Week (Revised): 313,000

The above figures represent the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists and Wall Street forecasters were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

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