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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Thursday, April 02, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for MARCH 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for March, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 52.1%

  • Actual: 52.7% (+0.3 point month-on-month change)

=========

Previous month: 52.4%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in March for the third consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report..."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  •     “This is expected to be a transition year for the U.S. trucking market, with gradual stabilization driven by capacity tightening and replacement demand instead of growth. Demand should stay constrained by weak carrier profitability and high equipment costs but improve modestly late in the year.”
     [Transportation Equipment]

  •     “Changes in the tariff structure are bringing cautious opportunities to offset significant costs for the balance of 2026. The actions in Iran, however, add a new wrinkle to energy costs throughout the world, including India. We continue to try and plan for the unpredictable and unexpected.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  •     “We’re seeing steady increases in activity, but geopolitical issues and the Iran war are already waning sentiment.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  •     “Customer orders have increased considerably as the construction market remains strong, resulting in higher production volume and increased forecasts to suppliers.”
     [Machinery]
     
  •     “Current Middle East unrest is already starting to impact business operations by increasing lead times, costs, container delays and the like.”
     [Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products]
     
  •     “Lots of relief from Supreme Court striking down (emergency) tariffs, particularly with organic cane sugar from Brazil.”
     [Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products]
     
  •     “Ongoing geopolitical instability has emerged as a persistent factor influencing global trade dynamics. We anticipate strategic realignment of supply chains as organizations respond to energy market volatility and shifting trade policies. In light of these macroeconomic headwinds, we -- like most organizations -- are maintaining a cautious posture regarding investment commitments while continuing to monitor market conditions closely. Our purchasing strategy is being recalibrated to address supply chain vulnerabilities exposed by energy market volatility and evolving trade protectionism.”
     [Chemical Products]
     
  •     “Metal commodity prices continue to put pressure on mechanical commodities. Memory price escalation is causing large cost increases that cannot be mitigated in other areas of the product cost.”
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  •     “The Middle East war has created domestic and global turmoil for the olefins and polyolefins business. Feedstocks and finished product pricing are accelerating dramatically as Middle Eastern and Asian producers suffer from shipping blockages. Global customers for packaging resins are scrambling to cover needs from North America and South America in the face of supply chain complications.”
     [Plastics + Rubber Products]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index March 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
March 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History March 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
March 2026 Update
=========

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Wednesday, April 01, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending March 27, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on March 27, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +5,100,000 Barrels (+0.59%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +40,500,000 Barrels (+4.84%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 876,700,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Thursday, March 26, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending March 20, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on March 20, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +6,900,000 Barrels (+0.8%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +41,800,000 Barrels (+5.04%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 871,600,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending March 13, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on March 13, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +6,200,000 Barrels (+0.72%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +31,900,000 Barrels (+3.83%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 864,700,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for FEBRUARY 2026

Here is the Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for FEBRUARY, 2026:

===============================
Previous Month (unrevised): +0.5%

  • Actual: +0.7%

Change from 12 months previous:  +3.4% 
(prior - unrevised = +2.9%)

=============

Below is the PPI-FD when Food, Energy and Trade Services are removed:

Previous Month (un
revised): +0.3% 

  • Actual: +0.5%

Change from 12 months previous:  +3.5% 
(prior - unrevised = +3.4%)


===============================

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

  • PPI-FD Goods, Year-on-Year: +2.5% (prior = N/A)
  • PPI-FD Services, Year-on-Year: +3.8% (prior = N/A)


  CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

The above, yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, for goods, services and construction in the United States, for final demand.

Final Demand = personal consumption (consumers), exports, government purchases and capital investment.
 
==============

CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - FEBRUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Producer Price Index
  Final Demand (PPI-FD)
12-Month Percent Change
FEBRUARY 2026 Update

==============

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Friday, March 13, 2026

PCE Price Index + Personal Income + Consumer Spending Report for JANUARY 2026

The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its report on The PCE Price Index, Consumer Spending and Personal Income for January, 2026:

=============

Consumer Spending (Personal Consumption Expenditures)

Previous Reading (unrevised): +0.4%
  • Actual: +0.4%
=============

Personal Income

Previous Reading
 (unrevised)+0.3%

  • Actual: +0.4%

    • > Disposable Personal Income (DPI): +0.9% 

    • >> Real DPI: +0.7%* 

=============

The above highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in Consumer Spending (aka Personal Consumption Expenditures), Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income for the entire United States.

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update 


Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
Previous Reading 
(unrevised): +0.4%

  • Actual: +0.3% 
  • Change from 12 months previous: +2.8%
    (prior - unrevised = +2.9%)
=====================

Core PCE Price Index
( = PCE Price Index minus food and energy)
Previous Reading 
(unrevised)+0.4%
  • Actual: +0.4%
  • Change from 12 months previous: +3.1%
    (prior - unrevised = +3.0%)
=====================

The yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in the prices associated with domestic personal consumption.  The PCE Price Index is different from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in that it is a very broad measure of the prices associated with domestic products and services, while the CPI measures a more limited fixed basket of goods and services.

The broad nature of the PCE Price Index is key to why it is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.  The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) pays very close attention to it.

=====================

The "predicted" figures are what economists were expecting, while the "actual" figures are the true or real figure.

=====================
 
CHART: Changes In Monthly Consumer Spending - JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Changes In Monthly Consumer Spending
JANUARY 2026 UPDATE
=====================
*Chained dollars is a method of adjusting real dollar amounts for inflation over time, so as to allow comparison of figures from different years. The Commerce Department introduced the chained-dollar measure in 1996. Chained dollars generally reflect dollar figures computed with 2012 as the base year.

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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending March 6, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on March 6, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +3,800,000 Barrels (+0.44%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +27,700,000 Barrels (+3.33%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 858,500,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Consumer Price Index (CPI) for FEBRUARY 2026

Earlier this morning, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February2026:


=========================================

CPI During February2026: 326.785

=========================================

Consumer Price Index (CPI); Headline

Predicted: +0.3%

->  
Actual: +0.47% (+1.533 points)

  • Year-on-Year Change+2.41% (+7.703 points)
[Y-o-Y previous = +2.39%]


=========================================

CPI, Minus Food + Energy (Core CPI)

Predicted: +0.3%

 - > 
Actual: +0.39% (+1.292 points)

  • Year-on-Year Change: +2.46% (+7.99 points)
[Y-o-Y previous = +2.5%]


=========================================

The above, yellow- and blue-highlighted figures represent month-to-month and year-on-year changes (not seasonally adjusted) in prices for a specific group of goods and services that consumers buy, and is, therefore, a very important part of the overall inflation picture for the country.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

General categories that constitute the CPI are:

  • Healthcare
  • Housing
  • Clothing
  • Communications
  • Education
  • Transportation
  • Food and Beverages
  • Recreation
  • Miscellaneous Goods and Services (grooming expenses, etc.)

========================================

CPI During February 2025: 319.082

=======================================

CHART: Consumer Price Index 12-Month Percentage Change - FEBRUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Consumer Price Index
12-Month Percentage Change
FEBRUARY 2026 Update

========================================

========================================

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Thursday, March 05, 2026

Import and Export Price Indexes for JANUARY 2026

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for January, 2026:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading,
revised: +0.2%
Actual: +0.2%

  • Change From 12 Months Previous: -0.1%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = FLAT

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.6%
Actual: +0.6%


  • Change From 12 Months Previous: +2.6%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +3.1%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

  • Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
  • Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.


Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index JANUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Import Price Index
JANUARY 2026 Update
================= 

CHART: Export Price Index JANUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Export Price Index
JANUARY 2026 Update
===============

===============

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Wednesday, March 04, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending February 27, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on February 27, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +3,500,000 Barrels (+0.41%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +25,600,000 Barrels (+3.09%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 854,700,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Monday, March 02, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for FEBRUARY 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for February, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 52.0%

  • Actual: 52.4% (-0.2 point month-on-month change)

=========

Previous month: 52.6%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in February for the second straight month but only the third time in 40 months, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report....."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:


  • Today, American produced commodities like steel and aluminum are the highest priced in the world, by far. Hence, the Section 232 tariff policy is having the exact opposite effect of their intention on an American manufacturer like us: It is raising prices while lowering demand and profitability.
     [Transportation Equipment]
  • “Economic activity seems to be also challenging for this year. Some recovery in certain sectors in the economy but still lot of cost pressures and soft demand. Cost discipline is the priority.”
     [Chemical Products]

  • “January sales continued to provide positive indications for growth opportunities. Data center, health care, and food and beverages remain positive growth areas. We continue to receive price increase notifications from suppliers based on unsupported tariff claims and are expanding corporate staff to support sales growth.”
     [Chemical Products]

  • “South American instability has begun to be a factor for our suppliers and inventory management.”
     [Petroleum & Coal Products]
     
  • “Pricing for outside purchases has stabilized. We are spending significant effort to work with our supply base to mitigate tariff impacts. Backlog is at a healthy level.”
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]
     
  • “Overall orders and supply footprint are improving. As we review customer demand, we are also taking several categories of established materials and supplies out to RFP for review and cost improvements -- in particular, printed circuit assemblies, plastics, sheet metal assemblies and motorized assemblies. This will help ease the burden of tariff and customer impacts as we broaden our supplier base to a more regional footprint.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]

  • Continue to be impacted by tariffs. Seeing metals prices rise too. Business is steady, but domestic growth is slower than expected.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]
     
  • “Business was slow in January. Many orders pulled into end of 2025 to meet revenue goals. Order book is strong going forward.”
     [Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components]
     
  • “Tariff policy changes affect total acquisition costs and purchasing source decisions. So far this year, tariff instability still exists. Due to the tariffs, most raw materials used in manufacturing, such as steel and wire, need to be sourced domestically, and the cost keeps going up.”
     [Machinery]
     
  • “Business is improving by the week. Backlog is growing, and new opportunities are everywhere. Monthly shipments are still lower than planned, but improving. Over the past five years, we spent thousands trying to attract new employees and had almost zero responses. In the last six months, however, we’ve been able to hire experienced engineers, computer numerical control (CNC) operators, and young people wanting to become CNC machinists.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index February 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
February 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History February 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
February 2026 Update
=========

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Friday, February 27, 2026

Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for JANUARY 2026

Here is the Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for JANUARY, 2026:

===============================
Previous Month (revised): +0.4%

  • Actual: +0.5%

Change from 12 months previous:  +2.9% 
(prior - unrevised = +3.0%)

=============

Below is the PPI-FD when Food, Energy and Trade Services are removed:

Previous Month (un
revised): +0.4% 

  • Actual: +0.3%

Change from 12 months previous:  +3.4% 
(prior - unrevised = +3.5%)


===============================


CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

The above, yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, for goods, services and construction in the United States, for final demand.

Final Demand = personal consumption (consumers), exports, government purchases and capital investment.
 
==============

CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - JANUARY 2026 Update
CHART: Producer Price Index
  Final Demand (PPI-FD)
12-Month Percent Change
JANUARY 2026 Update

==============

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Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending February 20, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on February 20, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: +15,900,000 Barrels (+1.9%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +25,700,000 Barrels (+3.11%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 851,200,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Saturday, February 21, 2026

PCE Price Index + Personal Income + Consumer Spending Report for DECEMBER 2025

The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its report on The PCE Price Index, Consumer Spending and Personal Income for December 2025:

=============

Consumer Spending (Personal Consumption Expenditures)

Previous Reading (revised): +0.4%
  • Actual: +0.4%
=============

Personal Income

Previous Reading
 (revised)+0.4%

  • Actual: +0.3%

    • > Disposable Personal Income (DPI): +0.3% 

    • >> Real DPI: FLAT* 

=============

The above highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in Consumer Spending (aka Personal Consumption Expenditures), Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income for the entire United States.

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update 


Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
Previous Reading 
(revised): +0.2%

  • Actual: +0.4% 
  • Change from 12 months previous: +2.9%
    (prior - revised = +2.8%)
=====================

Core PCE Price Index
( = PCE Price Index minus food and energy)
Previous Reading 
(revised)+0.2%
  • Actual: +0.4%
  • Change from 12 months previous: +3.0%
    (prior - revised = +2.8%)
=====================

The yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in the prices associated with domestic personal consumption.  The PCE Price Index is different from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in that it is a very broad measure of the prices associated with domestic products and services, while the CPI measures a more limited fixed basket of goods and services.

The broad nature of the PCE Price Index is key to why it is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.  The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) pays very close attention to it.

=====================

The "predicted" figures are what economists were expecting, while the "actual" figures are the true or real figure.

=====================
 CHART: Changes In Monthly Consumer Spending - DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE
CHART: Changes In Monthly Consumer Spending
DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE
=====================
*Chained dollars is a method of adjusting real dollar amounts for inflation over time, so as to allow comparison of figures from different years. The Commerce Department introduced the chained-dollar measure in 1996. Chained dollars generally reflect dollar figures computed with 2012 as the base year.

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