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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Monday, May 11, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending May 1, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on May 1, 2026 was released this morning:

-- Δ from Last Week: -7,500,000 Barrels (-0.87%)

-- Δ from 1-Year Previous: +12,400,000 Barrels (+1.48%)

-- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 849,900,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of May 2, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on May 2, 2026:

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Predicted: 201,000

  • Actual: 200,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 190,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 203,250

====================

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Friday, May 08, 2026

Employment Situation Report for APRIL 2026

The Employment Situation Report for April, 2026 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +115,000
Previous Month (revised): +185,000
One-Year Previous: +108,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.3%
Previous Month: 
4.3%
12-Months Previous: 4.2%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 8.2%
Previous Month:
 8.0%
12-Months Previous: 7.8%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.16% (+$0.06)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +3.5%
Actual: +3.57% (+$1.29)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +
0.45% (+$5.79)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.57% (+$44.24)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 61.8%
Previous Month: 
61.9%
12-Months Previous: 62.6%

Average Weekly Hours: 34.3 hours
Previous Month (revised): 34.2 hours
One-Year Previous: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate APRIL 2006 thru APRIL 2026
CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
APRIL 2006 thru APRIL 2026
   ===================
 
 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

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Friday, May 01, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for APRIL 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for April, 2026:

=========

Predicted: 53.0%

  • Actual: 52.7% (month-on-month = FLAT)

=========

Previous month: 52.7%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S. manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in April for the fourth consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report..."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  •    “Demand for manufactured goods is trending higher versus last year; however, geopolitical uncertainty and rising oil and diesel prices continue to weigh on demand. Many customers are exercising caution and remain in a wait-and-watch mode.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • Continued tariffs on products utilized in our product lines are being monitored by the business, with the business working to mitigate or limit tariff risk. Geopolitical risk, especially in the Middle East, as it pertains to commodity and energy markets remains a concern and is being monitored by the business. Supply chain risk concerns pertaining to increased cost and transit time for rerouted shipments due to conflict in the Red Sea, Strait of Hormuz and Suez Canal. These conditions are being monitored by the business and rerouting measures have been implemented where possible.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • “Continuing fluctuation in U.S. tariffs as well as market constraints for certain materials are affecting our current business. U.S. support of AI-related industry is also in flux which is causing some customer and investment hesitancy.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]
     
  • “Revenues are very strong. However, price increases are similar to a few years ago with the supply chain crisis. All imports from China are up 15 percent to 25 percent, which is impossible for us to absorb or to fully pass along. Our suppliers in China are telling us that oil is at an all-time high, which is putting huge challenges on their cost structures.”
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • “General uncertainty over the total impact of the U.S.-Iran war. Have not yet started to see the full impact of fuel increases but are aware they are coming.”
     [Machinery]
     
  • “Business levels have been decent this year, in line with the same period last year and improved from the second half of 2025. However, higher cost pressures are impacting margins.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  • “Commodity markets remain mixed, with pockets of easing offset by ongoing volatility. Dairy and some soft commodities have cooled, while oils and grain-related inputs remain elevated given biofuel demand and feed costs. Pricing is still sensitive to policy changes, weather and global trade dynamics.”
     [Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products]
     
  • “Our business remains strong and stable, but there are a lot of concerns in the geopolitical arena. If the Iran conflict persists, the impact on market pricing and supply continuity could be extreme. Electronics component market remains very volatile (pricing and continuity) based on AI.”
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index April 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
April 2026 Update
=========
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History April 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
April 2026 Update
=========

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Housing Starts During MARCH 2026

The U.S. Commerce Department this morning released its Housing Starts report for March, 2026:

---------------------------------------------------

Housing Starts:
Previous Reading: 1,356,000

  • Actual: 1,502,000

Month-on-Month Change: +10.77% (+146,000 New Units)

  • Year-on-Year Change: +10.85% (+147,000 New Units)

---------------------------------------------------

Building Permits:
Previous Reading (revised): 1,538,000

  • Actual: 1,372,000

Month-on-Month Change: -10.79% (-166,000 New Permits)

  • Year-on-Year Change: -7.36%  (-109,000 New Permits)

----------------------------------------------------

Housing Starts: The top, yellow-highlighted figure is a measure of initial construction of single and multi-family residential units in the United States for the indicated month. Seasonally adjusted annual rate. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

If you're wondering about the demand for new homes in the United States, or about the American residential construction industry in general, then you should pay attention to the monthly Housing Starts report. This report also offers insight into specific types of consumer spending: when housing starts are up, demand for the stuff that a consumer would purchase for a new home (large appliances, consumer electronics, furniture, etc.) tends to also rise -- and vice versa.


=================

CHART: Housing Starts + Building Permits + Completions - MARCH 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Housing Starts
+ Building Permits
+ Completions
MARCH 2026 UPDATE

=================


=================
 

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