New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of June 14, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on June 14, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 245,000

• Actual: 245,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 250,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 245,500

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The 4-week moving average was 245,500, an increase of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since August 19, 2023 when it was 246,000. The previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 240,250 to 240,750.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending June 7, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 7 was 1,945,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 5,000 from 1,956,000 to 1,951,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,926,250, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 20, 2021 when it was 2,004,250. The previous week's average was revised down by 1,250 from 1,914,500 to 1,913,250..."

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of June 7, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on June 7, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 245,000

• Actual: 248,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 248,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 240,250

====================

From Today's Report:

 "...The 4-week moving average was 240,250, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for
this average since August 26, 2023 when it was 245,000..." 

"...The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.3 percent for the week ending May 31, an increase of 0.1 percentage point from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending May 31 was 1,956,000, an increase of 54,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the highest level for insured unemployment since November 13, 2021 when it was 1,970,000. The previous week's level was revised down by 2,000 from 1,904,000 to 1,902,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,914,500, an increase of 19,750 from the previous week's revised average. This is the highest level for this average since November 27, 2021 when it was 1,923,500..."

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

====================  

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Productivity and Labor Costs Report for Q1, 2025 (Revised)

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) this morning released its quarterly report on Productivity and Unit Labor Costs for the first quarter of 2025 (revised):

Nonfarm Productivity
Previous:  -0.8%
Actual: -1.5%

• Change from A Year Ago: +1.3%

=============

Unit Labor Costs
Previous: +5.7%
Actual: +6.6%

• Change from A Year Ago: +1.9%

=============

The yellow-highlighted percentages represent the quarter-to-quarter change in non-farm productivity and unit labor costs for the United States.


For non-farm productivity, a positive number represents an improvement in the efficiency of producing domestic goods and services in the U.S., and therefore can signify a favorable inflationary outlook, and vice versa.

The Unit Labor Costs report measures the costs related to producing each unit of output. A positive number can be a harbinger of rising inflation, and vice versa.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Labor Productivity + Unit Labor Costs
Q1 2021 Through Q1 2025 (REVISED)

===================   

From Today's Report

 

"...This is the first decline in nonfarm business sector labor productivity since the second quarter of 2022..."

 ===================

 Click here to view the full Labor Department report (PDF.)

===================

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Employment Situation Report for MAY 2025

The Employment Situation Report for May 2025 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +139,000

Previous Month (revised): 147,000
One Year Previous: 193,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.2%
Previous Month: 4.2%
12 Months Previous: 4.0%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.8%
Previous Month: 7.8%
12 Months Previous: 7.4%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.42% (+$0.15)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.0%
Actual: +3.87% (+$1.35)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.42% (+$5.14)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.87% (+$46.30)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.4%
Previous Month: 62.6%
12 Months Previous: 62.6%

Average Weekly Hours: 34.3 hours
Previous Month (revised): 34.3 hours
One Year Previous: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
MAY 2005 THRU MAY 2025

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

===================

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Challenger Job Cuts Report for MAY 2025

The global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc. released its job cuts report, for May 2025:

-------------------------------

Job Cuts Announced During May 2025: 93,816

• Previous Month: 105,441

  > Change from previous month: -11.03% (-11,625 cuts)

--------------

• One-Year Previous: 63,816

 > Change from one-year previous: +47.01% (+30,000 cuts)

===================

From Today's Report:

"...'Tariffs, funding cuts, consumer spending, and overall economic pessimism are putting intense pressure on companies’ workforces. Companies are spending less, slowing hiring, and sending layoff notices,' said Andrew Challenger, Senior Vice President of Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

Why are Companies Cutting in 2025?

'DOGE Impact' remains the leading reason for job cut announcements in 2025, cited in 284,044 planned layoffs so far this year. This includes direct reductions to the Federal workforce and its contractors. Additionally, DOGE Downstream Impact, such as the loss of funding to private Non-Profits, was cited in another 10,459 cuts.

Market and Economic Conditions were the second-most cited reason for workforce reductions, responsible for 131,257 cuts year to date, followed by Closings of stores, units, or plants, which led to 94,439 layoffs.

Restructuring accounted for 62,015 cuts, while Bankruptcy was attributed to 35,501. Notably, Technological Updates, including those related to AI implementation, led to 20,000 job cuts so far in 2025..."

 ================

 

If corporate layoffs are high, consumer spending may decline, since there would be fewer people with steady jobs.

When corporate layoffs are low, this can mean that the job market is relatively tight, which can be a harbinger of wage inflation.

================

Job Cuts - Month-by-Month Totals
MAY 2025 UPDATE
Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.

================

• Click here to read the full Challenger, Gray and Christmas report

    ================

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of May 31, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on May 31, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 240,000

• Actual: 247,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 239,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 235,000

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for April 2025

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for April, 2025 was released by the Labor Department this morning:

=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 7,200,000

• Actual:   7,391,000

-------------------------

• Previous Month (revised): 7,200,000
  
  
• One Year Previous: 7,619,000
  
  
• Change from one year previous: -2.99% (-228,000)
  

=============

HIRES: 5,573,000

HIRES vs. 12 Months Previous: -0.2% (-11,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,194,000

QUITS vs. 12 Months Previous: -6.44% (-220,000)

-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,786,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12 Months Previous: +12.54% (+199,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS ^§: 5,288,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12 Months Previous: -1.86% (-100,000)

=============

 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:

"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
APRIL 2010 thru APRIL 2025

=============
=============

• * = The JOLTS data series began back in December of 2000. 
  
  
• Click here to view the full Labor Department JOLTS report.
  
  

============= 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of May 24, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on May 24, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 230,000

• Actual: 240,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 226,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 230,750

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of May 17, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on May 17, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 230,000

• Actual: 227,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (unrevised): 229,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 231,500

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of May 10, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on May 10, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 230,000

• Actual: 229,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 229,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 230,500

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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Productivity and Labor Costs Report for Q1 2025 (Preliminary)

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) this morning released its quarterly report on Productivity and Unit Labor Costs for the first quarter of 2025 (preliminary):

Nonfarm Productivity
Previous:  +1.5%
Actual: -0.8%

• Change from A Year Ago: +1.4%

=============

Unit Labor Costs
Previous: +2.2%
Actual: +5.7%

• Change from A Year Ago: +1.3%

=============

The yellow-highlighted percentages represent the quarter-to-quarter change in non-farm productivity and unit labor costs for the United States.


For non-farm productivity, a positive number represents an improvement in the efficiency of producing domestic goods and services in the U.S., and therefore can signify a favorable inflationary outlook, and vice versa.

The Unit Labor Costs report measures the costs related to producing each unit of output. A positive number can be a harbinger of rising inflation, and vice versa.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Labor Productivity + Unit Labor Costs
Q1 2021 Through Q1 2025 (Preliminary)

===================   

From Today's Report

 

"...This is the first decline in nonfarm business sector labor productivity since the second quarter of 2022..."

 ===================

 Click here to view the full Labor Department report (PDF.)

===================

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of May 3, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on May 3, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 230,000

• Actual: 228,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (unrevised): 241,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 227,000

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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Employment Situation Report for April 2025

The Employment Situation Report for April 2025 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +177,000

Previous Month (revised): 185,000
One Year Previous: 118,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.2%
Previous Month: 4.2%
12 Months Previous: 3.9%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.8%
Previous Month: 7.9%
12 Months Previous: 7.4%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.17% (+$0.06)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.0%
Actual: +3.77% (+$1.31)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.167% (+$2.06)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +4.07% (+$48.41)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.6%
Previous Month: 62.5%
12 Months Previous: 62.7%

Average Weekly Hours: 34.3 hours
Previous Month (revised): 34.3 hours
One Year Previous: 34.2 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
APRIL 2005 THRU APRIL 2025

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

===================

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of April 26, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on April 26, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 220,000

• Actual: 241,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 223,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 226,000

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

====================

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Challenger Job Cuts Report for April 2025

The global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc. released its job cuts report, for April 2025:

-------------------------------

Job Cuts Announced During April 2025: 105,441

• Previous Month: 275,240

  > Change from previous month: -61.69% (-169,799 cuts)

--------------

• One-Year Previous: 64,789
  

 > Change from one-year previous: +62.75% (+40,652 cuts)

===================

From Today's Report:

"...So far this year, employers have announced 602,493, the highest year-to-date total since 2020 when 1,017,812 job cuts were recorded. It is up 87% from the 322,043 cuts announced during the same period in 2024.

The Government leads all sectors in job cuts this year with 282,227, 281,452 of which are attributed to DOGE-related cost-cutting. This is up 680% from the 36,195 job cuts announced in this sector through April 2024.

In April, the number of job cuts announced in this industry was 2,782. DOGE actions were attributed to 2,731, while the rest were attributed to 'Economic Conditions' and 'Cost-Cutting.'

'DOGE Actions'  lead all job cut reasons in 2025 with 283,172, 2,919 of which occurred in April. Another 6,945 cuts were attributed to 'DOGE Downstream Impact' through April, primarily at Non-Profits and Education organizations. These reasons combined (290,117) make up 48% of all job cuts announced so far in 2025..."

 ================

 

If corporate layoffs are high, consumer spending may decline, since there would be fewer people with steady jobs.

When corporate layoffs are low, this can mean that the job market is relatively tight, which can be a harbinger of wage inflation.

================

Challenger Report - Announced Jobs Cuts
APRIL 2025 UPDATE
Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.

================

Job Cuts by Reason - USA
APRIL 2025 UPDATE
Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.

================

• Click here to read the full Challenger, Gray and Christmas report

    ================

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Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for March 2025

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for March 2025 was released by the Labor Department this morning:
=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 7,500,000

• Actual:   7,192,000

-------------------------

• Previous Month (revised): 7,480,000
  
  
• One Year Previous: 8,093,000
  
  
• Change from one year previous: -11.13% (-901,000)
  

=============

HIRES: 5,411,000

HIRES vs. 12 Months Previous: -1.11% (-61,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,332,000

QUITS vs. 12 Months Previous: +0.09% (+3,000)

-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,558,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12 Months Previous: -3.47% (-56,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS ^§: 5,137,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12 Months Previous: -2.49% (-131,000)

=============

 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:

"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
MARCH 2010 thru MARCH 2025

=============
=============

• * = The JOLTS data series began back in December of 2000. 
  
  
• Click here to view the full Labor Department JOLTS report.
  
  

============= 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of April 19, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on April 19, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 220,000

• Actual: 222,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 216,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 202,250

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of April 12, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on April 12, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 220,000

• Actual: 215,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (revised): 224,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 220,750

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of April 5, 2025

Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on April 5, 2025:

====================

Predicted: 225,000

• Actual: 223,000

====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 -->  Previous Week (unrevised): 219,000

• 4-Week Moving Average: 223,000

====================

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report

==================== 

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Challenger Job Cuts Report for March 2025

The global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc. released its job cuts report, for March 2025:

-------------------------------

Job Cuts Announced During March 2025: 275,240

• Previous Month: 172,017

 > Change from previous month: +60.00% (+103,223 cuts)

--------------

• One-Year Previous: 90,309
  

> Change from one-year previous: +204.76% (+184,931 cuts)

===================

From Today's Report:

"...'Job cut announcements were dominated last month by Department of Government Efficiency [DOGE] plans to eliminate positions in the federal government. It would have otherwise been a fairly quiet month for layoffs,' Andrew Challenger, Senior Vice President and workplace expert for Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

 -------------

Government & DOGE

The Government led all sectors in job cuts in March with 216,215, all of which occurred in the federal government. So far this year, the Government has cut 279,445, an increase of 672% from the 36,195 cuts announced in the first quarter of 2024.

In March of 2024, the previous administration announced plans to cut 10,000 from the Veterans Affairs and 24,000 from the United States Army. Prior to March 2024, the highest monthly total for the sector occurred in September 2011, when Government entities cut 54,182, primarily on an announcement to cut 50,000 positions in the U.S. Army. This sector cut a total of 15,584 cuts between 2021 and 2023 after cutting 78,323 jobs in all of 2020. Unlike March 2025, these cuts were a mixture of federal, state, and local government positions.

Why are Companies Cutting?

'DOGE Impact' leads job cut reasons this year with 280,253, 216,670 in March. Market/Economic Conditions followed with 47,851 job cuts attributed to this reason in the first quarter.

Another 45,761 job cuts were attributed to store, unit, or department Closing. Restructuring accounted for 39,396, while Bankruptcy was the reason for 35,501. Just 63 layoffs have been attributed specifically to tariffs so far this year, all in the Retail sector...."

 ================

 

If corporate layoffs are high, consumer spending may decline, since there would be fewer people with steady jobs.

When corporate layoffs are low, this can mean that the job market is relatively tight, which can be a harbinger of wage inflation.

================

Challenger Report - Announced Jobs Cuts
MARCH 2025 UPDATE

================

Job Cuts by Reason - USA
MARCH 2025 UPDATE

================

• Click here to read the full Challenger, Gray and Christmas report

    ================

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