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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Tuesday, November 03, 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for SEPTEMBER 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for September, 2026 was released by the Labor Department this morning:
=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 7,300,000
  • Actual:   7,523,000
-------------------------

  • Previous Month (revised): 7,190,000

  • Change from Previous Month: +4.63% (+333,000)
     
  • One-Year Previous: 7,169,000

  • Change from One-Year Previous: +4.94% (+354,000)


=============

HIRES: 5,402,000

HIRES vs. 12-Months Previous: +3.01% (+158,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,365,000

QUITS vs. 12-Months Previous: +12.54% (+375,000)


-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,641,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12-Months Previous: -9.64% (-175,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS §: 5,319,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12-Months Previous: +3.06% (+158,000)

=============
 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:


"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

CHART: Number of Jobless People per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted SEPTEMBER 2011 thru SEPTEMBER 2026
CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
SEPTEMBER 2011 thru SEPTEMBER 2026

=============

=============

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Monday, October 26, 2026

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (SBOI) for SEPTEMBER 2026

The National Federation of Independent Business® (NFIB®) released its Small Business Optimism Index (SBOI) for September, 2026:
=========

Predicted: 98.0

  • Actual: 97.9

----------------

  • Change from Previous Month: -0.81% (-0.8 point.)
  • Change from A Year Ago: -0.91% (-0.9 point.)

=========

CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
SEPTEMBER 2026 Update 

=========

  • The baseline "100" score is associated with 1986 survey data.
=========
 
From The Report:
 
"...MEMBER QUOTES

INFLATION

“Fuel prices are killing us on our delivery trucks, as well as fuel surcharges on all freight coming into the store. They also reduce the amount of disposable income our customers have to spend at our store.” – Retail, GA

“We are a farming, seed business, and cattle operation. It has been tough going for the last 2-3 years -- maybe somewhat better now that grain prices have gone up, but all input and equipment prices are way out of line compared to what we get for our products.” – Agriculture, SD

“Fuel costs are hurting our profits. All costs have gone up: oil, parts, equipment, and health insurance.” – Transportation, PA

“Our biggest costs are labor, fuel (energy), and insurance.” – Agriculture, NY

“Prices for fuel and raw materials are too high, and finding qualified labor is difficult.” – Manufacturing, WI

“Fuel and health insurance costs are killing small businesses. […]” – Professional/business services, MA

“Higher farm expenses have hurt profits.” – Agriculture, IN

“Prices have to stop increasing!” – Manufacturing, GA

“Transportation costs have to come down.” – Wholesale, PA

“High fuel prices are hurting our industry. Uncertainty in the economy is hurting us.” – Services, AZ

“The price of materials keeps creeping upward, which impacts our customer base. Every time we must increase our prices, we lose more of our market. People simply cannot afford what we have to offer. Prior to COVID, we were able to sell to approximately 75-80% of homeowners. Now the feeling is we are only selling to the top 25-30%.” – Construction, MN

LABOR


“Our business could increase if we were able to hire skilled labor.” – Services, ME

“We need more experienced and skilled trade workers.” – Services, MI

“My biggest problem is finding people who want to work. […]” – Services, TN

“Ongoing training for employees needs to be accessible to small towns, not just large cities. Incentives and training for entry-level staff need to be increased.” – Services, ID

“It is very difficult to find production employees who want a job and can pass a drug screening. Supplier delays are also hurting business.” – Manufacturing, OH

“The paid sick leave and PMFL are affecting my overall cash flow!” – Professional/business services, MN

“I don’t know where all the workers went. […]” – Services, MT

“We need less government involved in our labor force. Let competition for employees dictate the wages, benefits, insurance, PTO, etc. […]” – Construction, MN

“It is very hard to find machinists and programmers for machine shops.” – Manufacturing, MD..."
 

=========

  • Previous Month's SBOI: 98.7
  • SBOI, 12-Months Previous: 98.8
=========

=========

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Saturday, October 24, 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for AUGUST 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for August, 2026 was released by the Labor Department this morning:
=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 7,100,000
  • Actual:   7,079,000
-------------------------

  • Previous Month (revised): 7,335,000

  • Change from Previous Month: -3.49% (-256,000)
     
  • One-Year Previous: 6,919,000

  • Change from One-Year Previous: +2.31% (+160,000)


=============

HIRES: 5,192,000

HIRES vs. 12-Months Previous: +0.91% (+47,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,066,000

QUITS vs. 12-Months Previous: -0.94% (-29,000)


-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,641,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12-Months Previous: -10.43% (-191,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS §: 5,070,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12-Months Previous: -2.63% (-137,000)

=============
 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:


"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

CHART: Number of Jobless People per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted AUGUST 2011 thru AUGUST 2026
CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
AUGUST 2011 thru AUGUST 2026

=============

=============

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Thursday, October 22, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of October 17, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on October 17, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 198,000

  • Actual: 194,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 200,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 197,750

====================

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Monday, October 19, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of October 10, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on October 10, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 199,000

  • Actual: 199,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 198,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 198,500

====================

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Friday, October 09, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of October 3, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on October 3, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 199,000

  • Actual: 197,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 199,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 198,000

====================

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Employment Situation Report for SEPTEMBER 2026

The Employment Situation Report for September, 2026 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +29,000
Previous Month (revised): +133,000
One-Year Previous: +76,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.2%
Previous Month: 
4.1%
12-Months Previous: 4.4%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.6%
Previous Month:
 7.7%
12-Months Previous: 8.1%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.2%
Actual: +0.13% (+$0.05)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +3.2%
Actual: +3.02% (+$1.11)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +
0.13% (+$1.72)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.63% (+$45.52)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 61.8%
Previous Month: 
61.6%
12-Months Previous: 62.5%

Average Weekly Hours: 34.4 hours
Previous Month: 34.4 hours
One-Year Previous: 34.2 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate SEPTEMBER 2006 thru SEPTEMBER 2026
CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
SEPTEMBER 2006 thru SEPTEMBER 2026
   ===================
 
 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================


===================

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Friday, September 25, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of September 19, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on September 19, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 199,000

  • Actual: 197,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 198,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 202,250

====================

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Monday, September 14, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of September 5, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on September 5, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 206,000

  • Actual: 206,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 207,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 206,000

====================

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Tuesday, September 08, 2026

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (SBOI) for AUGUST 2026

The National Federation of Independent Business® (NFIB®) released its Small Business Optimism Index (SBOI) for August, 2026:
=========

Predicted: 99.0

  • Actual: 98.7

----------------

  • Change from Previous Month: -1.10% (-1.1 points.)
  • Change from A Year Ago: -2.08% (-2.5 points.)

=========

CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index  - AUGUST 2026 Update
CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
 AUGUST 2026 Update 

=========

  • The baseline "100" score is associated with 1986 survey data.
=========
 
From The Report:
 
"...CREDIT MARKETS

In August, the net percent of owners expecting easier credit conditions rose 2 points to a net -2% (seasonally adjusted). This marks the highest level since December 2024. A net 3% reported their last loan was harder to get than in previous attempts, down 2 points from July. In August, a net 4% of owners reported paying a higher interest rate on their most recent loan, unchanged from July. The average interest rate paid on short-maturity loans was 7.5% in August, down 0.4 points from July. Twenty-five percent of all owners reported borrowing regularly, down 2 points from July, and remaining below the historical average of 34%.

INFLATION

Though still high, the inflation metrics were flat in August. In August, a seasonally adjusted net 31% of owners reported raising average selling prices, unchanged from July but well above the historical average of net 14%. Unadjusted, 38% reported higher average prices (down 2 points), and 8% reported lower average selling prices (unchanged). Looking forward to the next three months, a net 28% (seasonally adjusted) plan to increase prices, unchanged from July. This is also above its historical average (net 22%), though with a smaller gap than actual prices. Reports of
inflation as the single most important problem
picked up in August. Sixteen percent of business owners cited
inflation as their single most important business problem, up 2 points from July and ranking the second top issue, tied with taxes. August’s reading remains elevated, with the historical average at 7%.

QUOTES on INFLATION

“Outside of the challenge of getting good productive help,
inflation has been the hardest to navigate.”
 – Manufacturing, IN

“The increase in the costs of aluminum, steel, and other raw materials has raised our inventory costs by more than 40% over our levels at the beginning of 2025.”
 – Manufacturing, MO

"The Iran [invasion] and shipping disruptions are greatly affecting agricultural input costs."
 -Agriculture, IN

“Labor, chemicals, and taxes are always our biggest expenses, and they all just keep going up with no end in sight. Daunting and scary.”
 – Agriculture, NY

“Cost pressures continue, with insurance and labor benefits increasing at a higher rate than supplies, etc. I feel many small businesses are in a wait-and-see mode for further business expansion.”
 – Services, OH

“The costs of energy and goods (especially here in Maryland) have increased dramatically. This has impacted our bottom line, which of course impacts pricing, which impacts our customers’ ability to afford us.”
 – Services, MD

“The cost of fuel is my number one expense, so this $4.00 and above gas price is really affecting my deliveries. I’ve been absorbing it somewhat by changing my delivery routes, but eventually I’m going to have to increase the cost of things I sell!”
 – Wholesale, PA

“The price of energy adversely affects sales.”
 – Services, TX

“Input costs have gone up dramatically, particularly for fuel and fertilizer...The financial squeeze is significant! Farmers can’t control prices or weather.”
 – Agriculture, OH

LABOR

“The quality of skilled labor is affecting my growth. I have given up on looking. My business is service-based, and the demand for accountants is increasing. If I could find the personnel, I could easily double, if not triple, my income.”
 – Professional/business services, VA

“My problem is that no one wants to work. I have advertised in all the areas I know of, and we have had a total of zero applications. In thirty years of business, this has never happened.”
 –Services, TN

“Since 2023, our business has had a hard time hiring employees – good technician mechanics with experience.”
 – Services, TX

“It is very difficult to find dental assistants or dental hygienists on a permanent basis.”
 – Professional/business services, OR

“Labor is the biggest challenge we face. We need H-2B visas to be more readily available, and we need them to be easier to navigate. Reduce the red tape.” – Agriculture, IN

“We need to bring back and step up trade education in all areas.”
 – Services, VT

“Getting control of the minimum wage is a big problem! I am a small business and hire a lot of first time employees. Because I have to start a first timer at $15/hour, there is not much left to reward my long-term employees. Merit raises become a thing of the past.”
 – Retail, AZ

“Imports coming into the USA at way below market price and getting employees are a huge problem for agriculture. Many of us would no longer be in business if it was not for the H-2A program.”
 – Agriculture, MT

“We need to get rid of the Minnesota Paid Leave program for seasonal and temporary employees.”
 – Agriculture, MN

“I own and operate a childcare business. I am seeing my costs increase dramatically, by more than 15% annually, and I am having an increasingly hard time finding staff. Online job postings receive a lot of interest and applications, but only about a third at best respond to interview requests. […]”
 – Professional/business services, OH

BUSINESS + ECONOMIC CONDITIONS

“Federal policies are creating unstable economic conditions for small businesses. Customers are uncertain about future economic conditions and thus unwilling to make major investments in future development.”
 – Construction, OR

"We are experiencing a slowdown and don't plan to hire more employees at this time. The economic outlook is very uncertain and will likely get worse."
 - Professional/business services,

“The opportunities to grow the business are incredible, but the resources [needed] to grow the business are very expensive and very hard to reach for my small business.”
 – Retail, OH

"The economy has been very poor since early 2025. The volatility in trade and tariff policies has hurt construction in our area... I am currently in a hold pattern for growing our business because the economic conditions are not favorable now."
 - Construction, OR

“Although our business is steady, we have found that our customers are cash-poor and using credit for their transactions. In the end, this cuts down on our sales as our patrons have less money in the end. […]”
 – Retail, PA

"The impact of cost increases due to tariffs and supply chain challenges... is meaningful."
 - Retail, NH

"Running a repair shop, we generally judge how busy we are by how far out we are scheduled. Over the last month or two, the schedule has definitely gotten better than the beginning of the summer. Our hope is it continues in that direction, as winter is typically slower."
 - Services, MT 

“It is hard to grow. We are mostly trying to maintain what we have.” 
– Wholesale, PA

“Until the [Iran invasion] started, we were doing great. We had our best month ever in March 2026, and following was a drop of 60%.”
 – Services, AZ

“I am awaiting the end of the 
[Iran invasion] to make some bigger financial decisions for my business.”
– Services, WA

“The business outlook is good as long as the weather is proper for syrup production next spring.
[…]”
 – Agriculture, NY..."

=========

  • Previous Month's SBOI: 99.8
  • SBOI, 12-Months Previous: 100.8
=========

=========

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Friday, September 04, 2026

Challenger Job Cuts Report for AUGUST 2026

The global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc. released its job cuts report, for AUGUST, 2026

-------------------------------

Job Cuts Announced During AUGUST, 2026: 52,881

  • Previous Month: 33,429
  > Change from previous month: +58.19% (+19,452 cuts)

--------------

  • One-Year Previous: 85,979
 > Change from one-year previous: -38.5% (-33,098 cuts)


===================

From Today's Report:

"...WHY ARE COMPANIES CUTTING?

Restructuring led all reasons for
job cuts in August with 16,173 announced during the month, or 31%. It is the highest monthly restructuring since January’s 20,044, and the first month since February that Artificial Intelligence did not lead. So far this year, Restructuring has been cited in 73,649 job cut announcements.

Market and Economic Conditions followed for the month with 15,260 cuts for a total of 105,335. Closings accounted for 6,743 in August and 91,373 for the year.

Artificial Intelligence fell to the fourth-most cited reason with 3,462 cuts in August, its lowest monthly total since December 2025 when 142 cuts were attributed to AI. It ends a five-month run, beginning in March, in which AI was the leading monthly reason. So far this year, AI has been cited in 116,175 job cut announcements, approximately 22% of all cuts, and it remains the leading reason year-to-date.
.."
 ================
 
If corporate layoffs are high, consumer spending may decline, since there would be fewer people with steady jobs.

When corporate layoffs are low, this can mean that the job market is relatively tight, which can be a harbinger of wage inflation. 

================

Job Cuts - Month-by-Month Totals AUGUST 2026 UPDATE Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.
Job Cuts - Month-by-Month Totals
AUGUST 2026 
UPDATE
Copyright © Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc.

================

=================

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Employment Situation Report for AUGUST 2026

The Employment Situation Report for August, 2026 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: 162,000
Previous Month (revised): +21,000
One-Year Previous: -70,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.1%
Previous Month: 
4.1%
12-Months Previous: 4.3%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.7%
Previous Month:
 7.9%
12-Months Previous: 8.1%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.27% (+$0.10)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +3.2%
Actual: +3.09% (+$1.13)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +
0.56% (+$7.20)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.69% (+$46.20)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 61.6%
Previous Month: 
61.4%
12-Months Previous: 62.3%

Average Weekly Hours: 34.4 hours
Previous Month: 34.3 hours
One-Year Previous: 34.2 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate - AUGUST 2006 thru AUGUST 2026
CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
AUGUST 2006 thru AUGUST 2026
   ===================
 
 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================


===================

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Thursday, September 03, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 29, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on August 29, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 206,000

  • Actual: 206,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 204,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 207,250

====================

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Tuesday, September 01, 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for JULY 2026

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS*) for July, 2026 was released by the Labor Department this morning:
=============

Job Openings

Predicted: 7,200,000
  • Actual:   7,271,000
-------------------------

  • Previous Month (revised): 7,182,000

  • Change from Previous Month: +1.24% (+89,000)
     
  • One-Year Previous: 7,089,000

  • Change from One-Year Previous: +2.57% (+182,000)


=============

HIRES: 5,054,000

HIRES vs. 12-Months Previous: -3.27% (-171,000)

-----------

QUITS: 3,056,000

QUITS vs. 12-Months Previous: -2.43% (-76,000)


-----------

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES: 1,666,000 

LAYOFFS + DISCHARGES vs. 12-Months Previous: -5.98% (-106,000)

-----------

TOTAL SEPARATIONS §: 5,072,000

TOTAL SEPARATIONS vs. 12-Months Previous: -1.9% (-98,000)

=============
 

§ = Here's How The Labor Department Defines Total Separations:


"Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Total separations is referred to as turnover. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm."

=============

CHART: Number of Jobless People per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted JULY 2011 thru JULY 2026
CHART: Number of Jobless People
per Job Opening, Seasonally Adjusted
JULY 2011 thru JULY 2026

=============

=============

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