Employment Situation Report for May 2024

The Employment Situation Report for May 2024 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +272,000

Previous Month (Revised): 165,000
One Year Previous: 303,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.0%
Previous Month: 3.9%
12 Months Previous: 3.7%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.4%
Previous Month: 7.4%
12 Months Previous: 6.8%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.403% (+$0.14)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.1%
Actual: +4.08% (+$1.37)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.402% (+$4.80)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.78% (+$43.63)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.5%
Previous Month: 62.7%
12 Months Previous: 62.6%

Average Workweek: 34.3 hours
Previous Month: 34.3 hours
One Year Previous: 34.4 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

 

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
May 2004 THRU May 2024

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

===================

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Existing Home Sales During April 2024

Existing Home Sales report for April 2024 was released by The National Association of Realtors® (NAR®) this morning:

======================

Previous Month: 4,220,000

• Actual: 4,140,000

======================

•  Change from Previous Month: -1.9% (-80,000 homes)
  
  
•  Change from A Year Ago: -1.9% (-80,000 homes)

==========

Inventory: 1,210,000 (3.5 months supply.)

==========

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

------------------------------------------------------

• Median Price: $407,600
  
  
• Price Change from A Year Ago: +5.65% (+$21,800)

------------------------------------------------------ 

==========

• Click here for historical prices and a chart.

==========

From Today's Report:

"...According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.02% as of May 16. That's down from 7.09% the previous week but up from 6.39% one year ago..."

==================

 

INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales
APRIL 2024 UPDATE

==================

• Click here to view the NAR data.

==================

 

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Employment Situation Report for April 2024

Employment Situation Report for April 2024 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +175,000

Previous Month (Revised): 315,000
One Year Previous: 278,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.9%
Previous Month: 3.8%
12 Months Previous: 3.4%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.4%
Previous Month: 7.3%
12 Months Previous: 6.6%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.202% (+$0.07)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.1%
Actual: +3.92% (+$1.31)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: -0.09% (-$1.06)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.92% (+$44.94)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.7%
Previous Month: 62.7%
12 Months Previous: 62.6%

Average Workweek: 34.3 hours
Previous Month: 34.4 hours
One Year Previous: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

 

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate
April 2004 THRU April 2024

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

===================

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Employment Situation Report for March 2024

Employment Situation Report for March 2024 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +303,000

Previous Month (Revised): 270,000
One Year Previous: 146,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.8%
Previous Month: 3.9%
12 Months Previous: 3.5%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.3%
Previous Month: 7.3%
12 Months Previous: 6.7%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.35% (+$0.12)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.1%
Actual: +4.14% (+$1.38)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.64% (+$7.59)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +4.14% (+$47.48)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.7%
Previous Month: 62.5%
12 Months Previous: 62.6%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.4 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

 

CHART: Persons NOT In The Labor Force
Who Want A Job, Seasonally Adjusted
March 2004 thru March 2024

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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Employment Situation Report for February 2024

Employment Situation Report for February 2024 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +275,000

Previous Month (Revised): 229,000
One Year Previous: 287,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.9%
Previous Month: 3.7%
12 Months Previous: 3.6%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.3%
Previous Month: 7.2%
12 Months Previous: 6.8%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.145% (+$0.05)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change) 
Predicted: +4.3%
Actual: +4.28% (+$1.42)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.44% (+$5.17)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.68% (+$42.07)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.5%
Previous Month: 62.5%
12 Months Previous: 62.5%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.3 hours
Actual: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Month-to-Month Change
In Nonfarm Payroll Employment
February 2022 thru February 2024

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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Employment Situation Report for January 2024

Employment Situation Report for January 2024 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +353,000

Previous Month (Revised): 333,000
One Year Previous: 482,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.7%
Previous Month: 3.7%
12 Months Previous: 3.4%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.2%
Previous Month: 7.1%
12 Months Previous: 6.7%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.553% (+$0.19)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.3%
Actual: +4.48% (+$1.48)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: -0.03% (-$0.39)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +2.97% (+$33.94)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.5%
Previous Month: 62.5%
12 Months Previous: 62.4%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.1 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Unemployment Rate
 January 2024 UPDATE

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

===================  

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Employment Situation Report for October 2023

Employment Situation Report for October 2023 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +150,000

Previous Month (Revised): 297,000
One Year Previous: 324,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.9%
Previous Month: 3.8%
12 Months Previous: 3.7%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.2%
Previous Month: 7.0%
12 Months Previous: 6.7%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.206% (+$0.07)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.4%
Actual: +4.103% (+$1.34)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: -0.085% (-$0.99)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.2% (+$36.16)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.7%
Previous Month: 62.8%
12 Months Previous: 62.2%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.3 hours
Actual: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Month-to-Month Change
In Nonfarm Employment
October 2023 UPDATE

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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Employment Situation Report for September 2023

Employment Situation Report for September 2023 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +336,000

Previous Month (Revised): 227,000
One Year Previous: 350,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.8%
Previous Month: 3.8%
12 Months Previous: 3.5%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.0%
Previous Month: 7.1%
12 Months Previous: 6.7%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.207% (+$0.07)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.4%
Actual: +4.15% (+$1.35)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.207% (+$2.41)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.55% (+$39.93)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.8%
Previous Month: 62.8%
12 Months Previous: 62.3%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.4 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Month-to-Month Change
In Nonfarm Employment
September 2023 UPDATE

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

 

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Employment Situation Report for August 2023

Employment Situation Report for August 2023 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +187,000

Previous Month (Revised): 157,000
One Year Previous: 352,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.8%
Previous Month: 3.5%
12 Months Previous: 3.7%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.1%
Previous Month: 6.7%
12 Months Previous: 7.0%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.237% (+$0.08)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.4%
Actual: +4.29% (+$1.39)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.53% (+$6.13)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.98% (+$44.57)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.8%
Previous Month: 62.6%
12 Months Previous: 62.3%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.4 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Month-to-Month Change
In Nonfarm Employment
August 2023 Update

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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Existing Home Sales During July 2023

The Existing Home Sales report for July 2023 was released by The National Association of Realtors® (NAR®) this morning:

======================

Previous Month: 4,160,000

• Actual: 4,070,000

======================

•  Change from Previous Month: -2.16% (-9,000 homes)
  
  
•  Change from A Year Ago: -16.6% (-81,000 homes)

==========

Inventory: 1,110,000 (3.3 months supply.)

==========

The yellow-highlighted, "actual" figure above represents the preliminary, seasonally adjusted annualized sales count of existing homes, co-ops and condominiums for the indicated month. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

------------------------------------------------------

• Median Price: $406,700
  
  
• Price Change from A Year Ago: +1.93% (+$7,000)

------------------------------------------------------ 

==========

• Click here for historical prices and a chart.

==========

From Today's Report:

"...'Two factors are driving current sales activity – inventory availability and mortgage rates,' said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. 'Unfortunately, both have been unfavorable to buyers.'

'Most homeowners continue to enjoy large wealth gains from recent years with little concern about home price declines,' Yun said. 'However, many renters are concerned as they’re facing growing affordability challenges because of high interest rates.'

According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.09% as of August 17. That’s up from 6.96% the prior week and 5.13% one year ago..."

==================

• Click here to view the NAR data.

==================

INFOGRAPHIC: Existing Home Sales
July 2023 UPDATE

==================





==================

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Employment Situation Report for July 2023

Employment Situation Report for July 2023 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +187,000

Previous Month (Revised): 185,000
One Year Previous: 568,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.5%
Previous Month: 3.6%
12 Months Previous: 3.5%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 6.7%
Previous Month: 6.9%
12 Months Previous: 6.8%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.417% (+$0.14)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.4%
Actual: +4.361% (+$1.41)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.125% (+$1.44)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.46% (+$38.66)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.6%
Previous Month: 62.6%
12 Months Previous: 62.1%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: Month-to-Month Change
In Nonfarm Employment
July 2023 Update

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for June 2023

The National Federation of Independent Business® (NFIB®) released its Small Business Optimism Index for June 2023:

=========

Predicted: 90.0
Actual: 91.0

• Change from Previous Month: +1.79% (+1.6 points.)

• Change from 12 Months Previous: +1.68% (+1.5 points.)

=========

CHART: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
June 2023 Update 

=========

 

From Today's Report:

"...'Halfway through the year, small business owners remain very pessimistic about future business conditions and their sales prospects, said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. 'Inflation and labor shortages continue to be great challenges for small businesses. Owners are still raising selling prices at an inflationary level to try to pass on higher inventory, labor, and energy costs.'...'

Key Findings Include:

    -- Forty-two percent of owners reported job openings that were hard to fill, down two points from May but remaining historically very high.

    -- Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months improved 10 points from May to a net negative 40%, 21 percentage points better than last June’s reading of a net negative 61%.

    -- The net percent of owners who expect real sales to be higher improved seven points from May to a net negative 14%..."

=========

• The baseline "100" score is associated with 1986 survey data.
  

=========

The previous month's Small Business Optimism Index was 89.4.

=========

• Click here to view the full NFIB report

 
=========

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Employment Situation Report for June 2023

Employment Situation Report for June 2023 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +209,000

Previous Month (Revised): 306,000
One Year Previous: 370,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.6%
Previous Month: 3.7%
12 Months Previous: 3.6%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 6.9%
Previous Month: 6.7%
12 Months Previous: 6.7%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.36% (+$0.12)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +3.5%
Actual: +4.35% (+$1.40)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.65% (+$7.47)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.75% (+$41.72)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.6%
Previous Month: 62.6%
12 Months Previous: 62.2%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.4 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: U-3 (Official) Unemployment Rate
June 2023 Update

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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Employment Situation Report for May 2023

Employment Situation Report for May 2023 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +339,000

Previous Month (Revised): 294,000
One Year Previous: 364,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 3.7%
Previous Month: 3.4%
12 Months Previous: 3.6%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 6.7%
Previous Month: 6.6%
12 Months Previous: 7.1%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.3%
Actual: +0.33% (+$0.11)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +3.5%
Actual: +4.304% (+$1.38)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +0.038% (+$0.44)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.4% (+$37.71)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.6%
Previous Month: 62.6%
12 Months Previous: 62.3%

Average Workweek
Predicted: 34.4 hours
Actual: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

===================

CHART: U-3 (Official) Unemployment Rate
May 2023 Update

   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

===================

• Click here to view the full Department of Labor report.

=================== 

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