ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) for March 2026

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM®) released their Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI®) for March, 2026:

==========

Predicted: 55.0%

• Actual: 54.0%  (-2.1 points month-on-month change)

==========

Previous month (revised): 56.1%

==========

The NMI is a reliable barometer of the U.S. services sector; above 50% implies expansion, while a reading below 50% implies that the services sector contracted.

==========

From today' report:

"...Economic activity in the services sector continued to expand in March, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest ISM^® Services PMI^® Report. The Services PMI^® registered 54 percent, the 21st consecutive month in expansion territory..."

===========

Here's A Sampling Of Comments
Made By Survey Participants:

• "Tariff rollbacks are resulting in favorable price adjustments, but the news of new implementation is driving continued uncertainty. Snowstorms last month disrupted demand and supplier operations, mostly around the availability of labor. Forecasted seasonal growth is starting to materialize due to daylight savings time and higher temperatures.”
   [Accommodation & Food Services] 

• “Transportation disruptions in the Middle East are inhibiting both incoming and outgoing cargoes from the region. While force majeure has been received from several Middle Eastern suppliers, business operations are generally at normal levels and no interruptions, except shipping.”
   [Construction] 

• “We are still in cost cutting and operational streamlining mode as technology continues to advance. We have seen more concessions regarding passing through tariff surcharges. We continue to closely monitor the political situation in the Middle East and how ramifications could impact our supply chain and overall costs.”
   [Finance & Insurance] 

• “As we close out the first quarter, demand for AI computer infrastructure remains incredibly resilient. Customers have opened their 2026 capital budgets, leading to a strong refresh in new order intake. Operationally, our focus has shifted toward efficiency and margin protection.”
   [Information] 

• “Political uncertainty with Iran conflict has resulted in less international business. Domestic business remains consistent with January and February levels.”
   [Mining]

• “We’re seeing some expansion across the services economy with stronger business activity and new orders. Clients remain active on regulatory, tax planning, and risk management initiatives, though persistent pricing pressures and evolving economic conditions continue to shape project prioritization and budgeting.”
   [Professional, Scientific & Technical Services] 

• “The war in Iran has added an additional layer of uncertainty on top of an already shaky macroeconomic climate. A spike in inflation due to higher oil prices will reduce purchasing power, affecting every industry.”
   [Real Estate, Rental & Leasing] 

• “Recent increases in fuel prices are having a substantial impact on the airline industry, resulting in significantly higher operational costs compared to pricing from just one month ago.”
   [Transportation & Warehousing] 

• “Continued volatility in copper, aluminum and steel markets — driven by supply chain constraints and strong infrastructure demand — has increased costs and lead times for electric utility projects. These conditions are influencing purchasing strategies and capital planning across the industry.”
   [Utilities] 

• “The U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran have created significant uncertainty for our Omani frankincense imports. Threats to close the Strait of Hormuz and rising war-risk surcharges are pressuring regional logistics costs, even for air freight. Combined with the Supreme Court’s emergency tariffs ruling — which replaced our 10-percent tariff with a 15-percent Section 122 tariff — landed costs have increased materially. We are monitoring regional stability closely and maintaining communication with Omani suppliers.”
   [Wholesale Trade]
  

===========

• Click here to view the complete ISM report
  
  

==========

CHART: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) Index
(NMI®) MARCH 2026 Update

==========

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for FEBRUARY 2026

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for February, 2026:

=================

Previous Month (revised): -0.104% (-$762,000,000)

• Actual: +0.6% (+$4,411,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During February, 2026: $738,366,000,000

• Year-On-Year Change: +3.71% (+$26,444,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly

February 2006 Thru February 2026
FEBRUARY 2026 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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Import and Export Price Indexes for JANUARY 2026

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for January, 2026:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.2%
Actual: +0.2%

• Change From 12 Months Previous: -0.1%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = FLAT

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.6%
Actual: +0.6%

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +2.6%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +3.1%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

• Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
• Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.

Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index

JANUARY 2026 Update

================= 

CHART: Export Price Index

JANUARY 2026 Update

===============

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

===============

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U.S. Factory Shipments During DECEMBER 2025

The U.S. Census Bureau this morning released their report on Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders -- also known as Factory Orders -- for December, 2025:

========

Predicted: -0.5%

• Actual: -0.7% (-4,332,000,000)

========

• December, 2025 New Orders: $617,527,000,000.
  
  
• November, 2025 New Orders: $621,859,000,000.
  

========

• Change from 12 Months Ago (Year-on-Year):
  
  +$36,571,000,000 | +6.24% (not seasonally adjusted)
  

 ========

The yellow-highlighted percentage is the seasonally adjusted, month-to-month change in new shipments for both durable and nondurable goods made by U.S. manufacturers. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=============

CHART: U.S. Factory Orders

DECEMBER 2025 Update

=============

• Click here to view the full Census Bureau report.

=============

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for DECEMBER 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for December 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +0.55% (+$4,034,000,000)

• Actual: -0.016% (-$118,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During December 2025: $734,967,000,000

• Year-On-Year Change: +2.43% (+$17,420,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly

January 2006 Thru December 2026
DECEMBER 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for NOVEMBER 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for November 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): -0.11% (-$780,000,000)

• Actual: +0.614% (+$4,492,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During November 2025: $735,904,000,000

• Year-On-Year Change: +3.33% (+$23,729,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2006 Thru November 2025
NOVEMBER 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for OCTOBER 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for October 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +0.1%

• Actual: +0.026% (+$189,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During October 2025: $732,633,000,000

• Year-On-Year Change: +3.47% (+$24,563,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru OCTOBER 2025
OCTOBER 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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Import and Export Price Indexes for SEPTEMBER 2025

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for September 2025:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.1%
Actual: FLAT

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +0.3%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = -0.1%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, unrevised: +0.1%
Actual: FLAT

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +3.8%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +3.2%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

• Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
• Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.

Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index

SEPTEMBER 2025 Update

================= 

CHART: Export Price Index

SEPTEMBER 2025 Update

===============

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

===============

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for September 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for September 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +0.6%

• Actual: +0.164% (+$1,199,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During September 2025: $733,258,000,000

• Year-On-Year Change: +4.26% (+$29,973,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru September 2025
SEPTEMBER 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for July 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for July 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +0.9%

• Actual: +0.514% (+$3,712,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month , seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During July 2025: $726,283,000,000

• Year-On-Year Change: +3.917% (+$27,374,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru July 2025
JULY 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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Import and Export Price Indexes for May 2025

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for May 2025:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading, unrevised: +0.1%
Actual: FLAT

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +0.2%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +0.1%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, unrevised: +0.1%
Actual: -0.9%

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +1.7%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +2.0%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

• Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
• Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.

Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index

MAY 2025 Update

================= 

CHART: Export Price Index

MAY 2025 Update

===============

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

===============

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for May 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for May 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): -0.1%

• Actual: -0.91% (-$6,566,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month , seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During May 2025: $715,417,000,000

• Change From A Year Ago: +3.29% (+$22,782,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru May 2025
MAY 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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Import and Export Price Indexes for April 2025

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for April 2025:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading, revised: -0.4%
Actual: +0.1%

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +0.1%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +0.9%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.1%
Actual: +0.1%

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +2.0%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +2.4%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

• Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
• Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.

Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index

APRIL 2025 Update

================= 

CHART: Export Price Index

APRIL 2025 Update

===============

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

===============

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for April 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for April 2025:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +1.7%

• Actual: +0.06% (+417,000,000)

=================

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month , seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During April 2025: $724,131,000,000

• Change From A Year Ago: +5.16% (+$35,502,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru April 2025
APRIL 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for March 2025

The Commerce Department this morning released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for March 2025:

=================

Previous Month (unrevised): +0.2%

• Actual: +1.43% (+10,335,000,000)

=================

The yellow-highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month , seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

• Est. Retail Sales During March 2025: $734,870,000,000

• Change From A Year Ago: +4.6% (+$32,350,000,000)

=================

CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2005 Thru March 2025
MARCH 2025 UPDATE
=================

• Click here to view the full Commerce Department report.
  
  

================= 

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Import and Export Price Indexes for March 2025

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for March 2025:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.2%
Actual: -0.1%

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +0.9%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +2.0%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading, revised: +0.5%
Actual: FLAT

• Change From 12 Months Previous: +2.4%

    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +2.1%

===============
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

• Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
• Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.

Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index
MARCH 2025 Update

================= 

CHART: Export Price Index

MARCH 2025 Update

===============

• Click here to view the full Labor Department report.

===============

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