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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Wednesday, November 04, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending October 30, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on October 30, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -1,300,000 Barrels (-0.19%)

- Δ from 1-Year Previous: -138,900,000 Barrels (-16.72%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 691,900,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Monday, November 02, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for OCTOBER 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for October, 2026:

=========

  • Actual: 55.5% (+1.0 point month-on-month)

=========

Previous month: 54.5%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S.
manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...
Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in October for the 10th consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report..."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  • "...'Negative, inflation, in the red’ are the three words or phrases that best describe our strategic sourcing for 2026. We generally assume  inflation at 2 percent to 3 percent year over year, and we usually do a great job keeping costs under the 2-percent increase. This year, costs are up more than 6 percent, and we are not doing much to keep any of the spend categories under the target. Of the tracked items, only nine are lower, 24 are higher and six are neutral. The red is a bit disturbing. Despite the cost pressures, sales have been OK. It won’t be a great year. It's hard to get excited about OK or just getting by. U.S. economic policy has suffered another year, making it impossible to make sound long-term decisions.'
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • 'Global demand for capital scientific instrumentation assets has slowed due to continued uncertainty in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and China. Anticipation over the midterm elections and impact to funding for scientific research and the National Institutes of Health also is impacting customers’ purchasing behavior, making them focus on optimizing existing technology and tools.'
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  • 'Economic policies coming out of Washington continue to weigh on business conditions. Customers are unwilling to make commitments to anything other than the shortest term due to the vast uncertainty.  Canadian tariffs continue to damage small U.S. businesses selling into that important market.'
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  • 'Inflationary pressures and volatile commodity markets continue to create challenging scenarios and unfavorable impact to purchase price variance. Diesel rates and the trucker shortage are impacting costs beyond the raw material inputs to levels I have never seen.'
     [Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products]
     
  • 'Business remains strong, largely driven not only by data centers and mission critical infrastructure, but also the continued replacement of municipal infrastructures particularly related to water. Mining continues to be strong as well.'
     [Machinery]
     
  • 'Explosive growth in the semiconductor and government/defense spaces has put us on our heels as we try to work through demand. The long-awaited wave has arrived for our company, and it seems the global supply chain is in similar straits. Lead times and prices are increasing, and some carry COVID-19 era delays — four weeks is now 50 weeks; a US$2,000 item six months ago is now $4,000. We are hand-to-mouth. All the while, our customers are breaking down the doors complaining about our delivery delays.'
     [Machinery]
     
  • 'New month, same trends: Any commodity consumed by AI/data centers is in a crunch, both for supply and pricing. We keep wondering when the madness will stop. In spite of these challenges, our demand remains strong and the supply chain is getting by, albeit with a lot of work. As we plan next year’s budget, it’s sobering to roll up the annualized impact of (1) remaining tariffs, (2) AI-impacted commodity price increases and (3) price increases related to geopolitically influenced commodities.'
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]
     
  • 'Customers continue to be in a wait-and-see mode. There is no momentum to purchase, as our customers’ customers aren’t in urgent need of equipment. There has been tentative talk of 2027 purchases, but no discussion of larger-than-historical needs moving into the new year. Customers continue to be gobsmacked by the high price of equipment when they ask for quotes. Typically, we see a fourth-quarter bump as customers use up end-of-year budgets. This year, that bump does not exist.'
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • 'The trucking industry is experiencing mixed signals. While major companies are making significant strategic investments and consolidations (acquisitions, autonomous technology and electric vehicle infrastructure), underlying freight demand appears softer. Truck tonnage metrics are declining year-over-year, new-vehicle sales are falling, and consumer confidence is weakening. However, elevated diesel prices continue to support trucking company revenues through fuel surcharges, even as freight volumes remain challenged. The economy is growing at a moderate pace, with inflation concerns persisting.'
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • 'Material shortages abound. Fuel remains high. Uncertainty remains constant. Though not a presidential election, the election-year dynamic has begun to take hold a bit. Canadian tariffs continue to have a negative impact on steel.'
     [Primary Metals]..."

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index OCTOBER 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
OCTOBER 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History OCTOBER 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
OCTOBER 2026 Update
=========

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Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending October 23, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on October 23, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -2,000,000 Barrels (-0.29%)

- Δ from 1-Year Previous: -131,900,000 Barrels (-15.99%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 693,200,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Friday, October 23, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for SEPTEMBER 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for September, 2026:

=========

  • Actual: 54.5% (-0.1 point month-on-month)

=========

Previous month: 54.6%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S.
manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September for the ninth consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report.
.."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  • "...'Better performance was driven primarily by temporary market effects, including (1) geopolitical uncertainties, (2) customers bringing forward purchases, (3) delayed raw material price increases and (4) reduced competitor capacity. However, these factors do not signal sustained recovery: Structural challenges facing the chemical industry remain, including overcapacity, persistent pricing pressures and protectionist trade policies.'
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • 'Supply chain performance has improved compared to prior years, with lead times largely normalized. Cost pressures persist in select raw materials, transportation and labor categories, requiring continued focus on supplier management and cost control. We remain cautiously optimistic about business conditions over the next several quarters.'
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • 'The U.S. tariffs schedule is providing challenges. Finding alternate sources of supply outside of China, local pushback on data centers in the U.S. and continuing material/component shortages are affecting business.'
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  • 'Manufacturing activity remains stable, with a continued focus on cost optimization, supplier negotiations and supply base consolidation. We are actively evaluating alternative sources in several categories to improve supply resilience and reduce costs.

    While material availability has generally improved compared to prior periods, qualification requirements and supplier capacity constraints continue to influence sourcing decisions for certain critical materials and components.

    Capital and operational spending remain focused on productivity, efficiency and transformation initiatives.'
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  • 'Orders have doubled yet again, and delivery times have also doubled, in the semiconductor, electronics and government sectors, with remaining sectors flat to down. Coupled with supply chain lead times and pricing pressures, the factory backlog has nearly doubled. Canada tariffs have impacted cross-border costs and left our supply chain team scrambling -- those supply chains took years to develop and nurture -- hurting the very lead times government buyers are concerned about.'
     [Machinery]
     
  • 'Order levels remain strong and elevated; we have orders through year-end at above forecast levels. Our biggest challenge continues to be a severe shortage of workers, limiting our production output to meet demand. The second challenge is general availability of steel; the market is getting worse, and more production delays are expected as we gap out of needed material.'
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  • 'Raw metals continue to be challenging, especially with the uncertain nature of tariffs being on and off again. New tariffs against Canada have drastically increased costs for capital expenses as well as assemblies.'
     [Electrical Equipment, Appliances + Components]
     
  • 'Fuel costs are still affecting transportation costs and the overall cost of goods. Beef costs remain high, with no relief in sight.'
     [Food, Beverage + Tobacco Products]
     
  • 'Higher interest rates slow down the growth of new construction projects; we also have to face up to the higher cost of components from overseas due to tariffs and freight rates. Due to booming demand of AI and data centers, domestic steel capacity has been stretched and pushed. Higher steel costs each month increase our raw-material and finished-goods costs.'
     [Machinery]
     
  • 'Every month, we are faced with new headwinds created by this administration. This month, it is the trade war with Canada, which every day is getting worse -- causing prices to go up and uncertainty that creates massive disruption.

    Buying continues to get pushed out indefinitely as customers don’t want to spend on capital expenditures until there is more certainty of costs and demand.

    The only thing that is predictable is the chaos that is created by these trade policies
    .'
     [Transportation Equipment]..."

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
=========

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ISM Non-Manufacturing (SERVICES) Index for SEPTEMBER 2026

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM®) released their Non-Manufacturing / Services Index (NMI®) for September, 2026:

==========

  • Actual: 54.9%  (-0.5 point month-on-month change)

==========

Previous month: 55.4%

==========

The NMI is a reliable barometer of the U.S. services sector; above 50% implies expansion, while a reading below 50% implies that the services sector contracted.

==========

From Today' Report:
 
 "...Economic activity in the services sector continued to expand in September, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest ISM® Services PMI® Report. The Services PMI® registered 54.9%, the 27th consecutive month in expansion territory..."
 
===========

Here's A Sampling Of Comments
Made By Survey Participants:


  • "...'The high cost of diesel fuel has increased the cost of freight dramatically. The high cost is hard on farmers due to the high use of diesel fuel at harvest. The high cost of crude oil has driven nitrogen (for agronomic use) prices to near record highs.'
     [Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing + Hunting]
     
  • 'Interest rates continue to drive buyers out of the market. Half of buyers walking through the door cannot qualify to purchase.'
     [Construction]
     
  • 'Increased competition for deposits and higher funding costs are placing pressure on profitability and moderating growth expectations. Although projections have been revised downward, the bank continues to expect modest growth in both loans and deposits.'
     [Finance + Insurance]
     
  • 'Had vendor communications about more fuel charges and possible tariff reinstatement.'
     [Health Care + Social Assistance]
     
  • 'Demand across commercial client segments remains steady through September, though client decision cycles on discretionary capital projects remain cautious. Wage pressures and software licensing renewals continue to push operational expenses slightly higher, but freight and consumable material lead times have normalized.'
     [Information]
     
  • 'The cost of fuel continues to impact our cost of providing services.'
     [Other Services]
     
  • 'Business activity remains strong, but supply chain conditions continue to be challenging. Utilities and materials are experiencing slower availability, with steel particularly difficult to source domestically.

    We are increasingly having to place orders internationally to secure required materials.


    Strong business demand is putting additional pressure on supply, contributing to longer lead times, material availability issues and delays in project starts.'
     [Utilities]
     
  • 'Demand remains very strong. Manufacturers have very little breathing room to keep up with demand, and in some cases, typical lead times have slipped. They are not as aggressive on all opportunities and eager to cut prices to secure business.

    Weekly price increases are the norm these days on commodities products (copper, aluminum and polyvinyl chloride). We are constantly reaching out to any and all suppliers we conduct business with to secure product to meet customer demand.'
     [Wholesale Trade]..."

========== 

==========

CHART: ISM Services Index (NMI®) SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Services Index
(NMI®) SEPTEMBER 2026 Update

==========
    
CHART: ISM Services Index 12-Month History SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Services Index
12-Month History
SEPTEMBER 2026 Update

 ==========

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Thursday, October 22, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of October 17, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on October 17, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 198,000

  • Actual: 194,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 200,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 197,750

====================

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Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During September 2026

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for September, 2026 were released by the Federal Reserve:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.1%
Actual: +0.7% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +2.2%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.4%

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Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): -0.2%
Actual: 
+0.3% M/M
  • Y/Y : +1.1%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +0.9%

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Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (revised): 76.4%
Actual:  76.9% 

  • Y/Y : +1.2%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.2
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===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization SEPTEMBER 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
SEPTEMBER 2026 UPDATE

 

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Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending October 16, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on October 16, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -3,400,000 Barrels (-0.49%)

- Δ from 1-Year Previous: -136,200,000 Barrels (-16.38%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 695,200,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Tuesday, October 20, 2026

U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for SEPTEMBER 2026

The Commerce Department has released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for SEPTEMBER, 2026:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +1.29% (+$9,407,000,000)

  • Actual: +0.77% (+$5,699,000,000)
================= 

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

  • Est. Retail Sales During September: $745,021,000,000
  • Year-On-Year Change: +6.29% (+$44,073,000,000)

=================
 
CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly January 2006 Thru September 2026 SEPTEMBER 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2006 Thru September 2026
SEPTEMBER 2026 UPDATE

=================
 
=================   

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Monday, October 19, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of October 10, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on October 10, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 199,000

  • Actual: 199,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 198,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 198,500

====================

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Import and Export Price Indexes for SEPTEMBER 2026

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for September, 2026:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading (revised)*
: +0.5%
Actual: +1.1%

  • Change From 12-Months Previous: +8.1%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +6.7%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading 
(revised)*: +1.2%
Actual: +2.2%


  • Change From 12-Months Previous: +11.6%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading* = +9.3%

===============
 
* = Revised data.  
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

  • Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
  • Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.


Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index SEPTEMBER, 2026 Update

CHART: Import Price Index
SEPTEMBER, 2026 Update
================= 
 
CHART: Export Price Index SEPTEMBER, 2026 Update
CHART: Export Price Index
SEPTEMBER, 2026 Update
===============

===============

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Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for SEPTEMBER 2026

Here is the Producer Price Index - Final Demand (PPI-FD) for SEPTEMBER, 2026:

===============================
Previous Month (revised): +0.5%

  • Actual: +1.3%

Change from 12-months previous:  +6.3% 
(prior - revised = +5.6%)

===============================

Below is the PPI-FD when Food, Energy and Trade Services are removed:

Previous Month (un
revised): +0.3% 

  • Actual: +0.5%

Change from 12-months previous:  +5.0% 
(prior - unrevised = +4.8%)

===============================

CHART: Producer Price Index Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

  • PPI-FD Goods, Year-on-Year: +9.8% (prior = +7.7%)
  • PPI-FD Services, Year-on-Year: +4.9% (prior = +4.7%)


  CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2024 Update

The above, yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, for goods, services and construction in the United States, for final demand.

Final Demand = personal consumption (consumers), exports, government purchases and capital investment.
 
==============

CHART: Producer Price Index   Final Demand (PPI-FD) 12-Month Percent Change - SEPTEMBER 2026 Update
CHART: Producer Price Index
  Final Demand (PPI-FD)
12-Month Percent Change
SEPTEMBER 2026 Update

==============

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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending October 9, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on October 9, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -8,500,000 Barrels (-1.2%)

- Δ from 1-Year Previous: -132,900,000 Barrels (-15.98%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 698,600,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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