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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Thursday, September 10, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending September 4, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on September 4, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -1,700,000 Barrels (-0.24%)

Δ from 1-Year Previous: -120,500,000 Barrels (-14.52%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 709,400,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Thursday, September 03, 2026

ISM Non-Manufacturing (SERVICES) Index for AUGUST 2026

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM®) released their Non-Manufacturing / Services Index (NMI®) for August, 2026:

==========

  • Actual: 55.4%  (+1.3 points month-on-month change)

==========

Previous month: 54.1%

==========

The NMI is a reliable barometer of the U.S. services sector; above 50% implies expansion, while a reading below 50% implies that the services sector contracted.

==========

From Today' Report:
 
 "...Economic activity in the services sector continued to expand in August, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest ISM® Services PMI® Report. The Services PMI® registered 55.4 percent, the 26th consecutive month in expansion territory..."
 
===========

Here's A Sampling Of Comments
Made By Survey Participants:


  • "...'General business conditions are positive. The challenges lie in managing through the dynamic nature of the administration’s policies -- tariffs and [Iran invasion] -- that have caused numerous input cost headwinds for suppliers and us.'
     [Accommodation + Food Services]
     
  • 'The bond market pushed 30-year mortgage rates up to 6.67 percent, reducing affordability and moving prospective buyers back to the sidelines. The new-build housing market continues to slow with the selling season coming to a close and the start of the new school year. Rate buydowns and discounts have become the norm instead of the tool to drive traffic.'
     [Construction]
     
  • 'The [Iran invasion] and strain on the oil supplies has resulted in our paying higher cost for fuel. Locally, our economy continues to perform well, and our housing market is solid. We expect our enrollment to remain steady as long as the local economy stays strong.'
     [Educational Services]
     
  • 'Rising health-care costs, regulatory complexity and reimbursement pressure continue to drive a cautious purchasing environment within health insurers. Focus remains on cost management, supplier performance, operational efficiency and risk mitigation, resulting in increased scrutiny of supplier value, contract commitments and strategic investments.'
     [Finance + Insurance]
     
  • 'We received a few communications regarding tariffs that are being refunded. Fewer materials being back-ordered at this time.'
     [Health Care + Social Assistance]
     
  • 'Concerns about market trends, reduced hospital sources of revenue and increasing debt management creating reluctance of our customers to expand.'
     [Management of Companies + Support Services]
     
  • 'Business is picking up and forecast to increase over the next six months.'
     [Other Services]
     
  • 'The stacked Section 301 duties plus the newer forced-labor related tariffs are keeping landed costs elevated and forcing constant TCO recalculation. We are actively dual-sourcing and evaluating nearshoring options, but qualified capacity, lead times and quality consistency are limited for certain specialty materials and components. The results are higher inventory buffers, longer planning cycles, and margin pressure that we can only partially pass through. On the positive side, Florida ports (especially Port Everglades and the broader South Florida gateway) remain relatively fluid compared with the congestion spikes earlier in the year on the West Coast and in Europe.'
     [Professional, Scientific + Technical Services]
     
  • 'The memory shortage is continually getting worse. For devices requiring (memory) cards, inventory is low and prices are high.'
     [Retail Trade]
     
  • 'The electrical distribution industry volume demand and opportunities remain very strong. Commodities-based products of materials like copper, aluminum and polyvinyl chloride continue to have price increases and adjustments on a weekly basis. Geopolitical issues like tariffs continue to impact pricing as well. Supplier capacities are still strained due high market demands.'
     [Wholesale Trade]

========== 

==========

CHART: ISM Services Index (NMI®) - AUGUST 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Services Index
(NMI®) AUGUST 2026 Update

==========
    
CHART: ISM Services Index 12-Month History - AUGUST 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Services Index
12-Month History
AUGUST 2026 Update

 ==========

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New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 29, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on August 29, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 206,000

  • Actual: 206,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 204,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 207,250

====================

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Wednesday, September 02, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending August 28, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on August 28, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -7,500,000 Barrels (-1.04%)

Δ from 1-Year Previous: -114,300,000 Barrels (-13.85%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 711,100,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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ISM Manufacturing Index for AUGUST 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for August 2026:

=========

  • Actual: 54.6% (-1.0 point month-on-month)

=========

Previous month: 55.6%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S.
manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in August for the eighth consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report.
.."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  • "...'The economy is annoying; it is getting in the way of otherwise good business. We are making great new products but struggling to compete when prices escalate due to things like tariffs and the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. I fear that the inflation caused by these factors will lead to lower sales and lower spending power of our customers. Call it inflation! At some point, it leads to an economic downturn or at least an economic pain for many consumers. It’s an uncertain year, our second in a row.'
     [Chemical Products]
  • 'For our building products division, profitability is not far off from last year despite economic headwinds, as our specialty products have maintained their market share and sales. Specific to IT, the rising costs in component inputs have caused some budgetary constraints as we plan for the 2027 fiscal year. However, we largely been able to keep costs close to historic consumer price index averages.'
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • 'Supply chain situation, especially in the electronics market, is going through another crisis even bigger and more complicated than during and post COVID-19. That’s mainly due to AI infrastructure and uncertainties in the global market (for oil and other critical supplies) due to war in the Middle East and more complication on trade rules.'
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  • 'Supply markets are increasingly challenging due to inflation and supply availability. Each month has been more difficult than the previous one. Starting to resemble the post-COVID-19 disruptive period.'
     [Computer + Electronic Products]
     
  • 'Photonics, high speed connectors, semiconductors and government orders are expanding significantly. Supply chains domestically and globally are difficult, with increases in lead times and cost.'
     [Machinery]
     
  • 'Commentary this month echoes that of recent months: (1) significant availability/price challenges in commodities heavily consumed by AI, (2) great uncertainty over when the Iran [invasion] will end, and (3) another round of shifting U.S. tariff policy. Despite these tensions, we continue to focus on what we can control, and the market for our products remains strong.'
     [Miscellaneous Manufacturing]
     
  • 'This month is a blur: Steel prices continue to climb as supply diminishes, aluminum is rising after dropping, and there are many holes on the plate side. Demand seems to be a seesaw. Our prediction ability continues to diminish, with the exception that the year will remain difficult until the end.'
     [Primary Metals]
     
  • 'High steel and aluminum prices (due to Section 232 tariffs) continue to make profitability a challenge. Uncertainty over the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement is at the forefront of many customer conversations. Our industry has also been hit with countervailing and anti-dumping penalties, further raising the cost of equipment.'
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • 'Volume is consistent. Our main customer is shifting production from U.S. plants to Mexico plants.'
     [Transportation Equipment]..."

==========

CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index - AUGUST 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
AUGUST 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History - AUGUST 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
AUGUST 2026 Update
=========

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Friday, August 28, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 22, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on August 22, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 205,000

  • Actual: 203,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 207,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 205,500

====================

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Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending August 21, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on August 21, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -3,600,000 Barrels (-0.5%)

Δ from 1-Year Previous: -103,900,000 Barrels (-12.63%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 718,600,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Friday, August 21, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 15, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on August 15, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 205,000

  • Actual: 206,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 212,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 204,000

====================

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Thursday, August 20, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending August 14, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on August 14, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: -900,000 Barrels (-0.12%)

Δ from 1-Year Previous: -101,900,000 Barrels (-12.37%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 722,200,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization During July 2026

The Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Capacity Utilization numbers for July, 2026 were released by the Federal Reserve:

Industrial Production:
Previous Month (revised): +0.3%
Actual: +0.2% Month-on-Month (M/M)

  • Year-on-Year (Y/Y): +1.1%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.1%

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Manufacturing:

Previous Month (revised): +0.3%
Actual: 
+0.2% M/M
  • Y/Y : +1.2%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.1%

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Capacity Utilization Rate:
Previous Month (unrevised): 76.1%
Actual:  76.3% 

  • Y/Y+1.2%

    --> Y/Y Previous: +1.3%
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===============

CHART: Industrial Production + Manufacturing + Capacity Utilization JULY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Industrial Production
+ Manufacturing
+ Capacity Utilization
JULY 2026 UPDATE

 

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Import and Export Price Indexes for JULY 2026

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its report on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for July, 2026:

===============

Import Prices
Previous Reading*
: -0.3%
Actual: -0.4%

  • Change From 12-Months Previous: +5.9%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading = +7.1%

===============

Export Prices
Previous Reading*: -0.7%
Actual: -1.3%


  • Change From 12-Months Previous: +8.2%
    -- Year-on-year previous reading* = +10.2%

===============
 
* = Revised data.  
 
The above percentages, highlighted in yellow, represent the month-to-month change in prices for:

  • Imports: the cost of goods produced in other countries and sold in the United States.
  • Exports: the cost of goods produced in the USA and sold in other countries.


Together, these indexes offer insight into the status of inflation in the United States, and for the global economy as well. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

=================

CHART: Import Price Index JULY, 2026 Update
CHART: Import Price Index
JULY, 2026 Update
================= 

CHART: Export Price Index JULY, 2026 Update
CHART: Export Price Index
JULY, 2026 Update
===============

===============

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Monday, August 17, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories Report for Week Ending August 7, 2026

Crude Oil Inventories
Crude Oil Inventories


The U.S. Crude Oil Inventories report for the week that ended on August 7, 2026 was released this morning:

- Δ from Last Week: +11,300,000 Barrels (+1.59%)

Δ from 1-Year Previous: -106,800,000 Barrels (-12.9%)

- Current U.S. Crude Oil Stocks: 723,100,000 Barrels

  • NB: Δ = Change


Diminishing crude oil inventories often translate to higher crude oil and fuel prices (and vice versa), but not always.

The report is produced by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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U.S. Retail And Food Services Sales Report for JULY 2026

The Commerce Department has released advance estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Sales for JULY, 2026:

=================

Previous Month (revised): +0.25% (+$1,880,000,000)

  • Actual: -0.58% (-$4,470,000,000)
================= 

The highlighted percentage above represents the month-to-month, seasonally adjusted change in total sales receipts for retailers that sell durable and non-durable goods, and retailers that provide food and beverage services.

=================

  • Est. Retail Sales During June, 2026: $763,602,000,000
  • Year-On-Year Change: +5.01% (+$36,426,000,000)

=================
 
CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly January 2006 Thru July 2026 JULY 2026 UPDATE
CHART: Retail Sales - Monthly
January 2006 Thru July 2026
JULY 2026 UPDATE

=================
 
=================   

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Thursday, August 13, 2026

New Unemployment Insurance Claims for The Week of August 8, 2026

Jobless Claims
Jobless Claims

Earlier today, the Labor Department released its weekly report on New Jobless Insurance Claims for the week that ended on August 8, 2026:

====================
Predicted: 200,000

  • Actual: 209,000
====================

The yellow-highlighted figure represents the number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the entire United States. The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

 --> Previous Week (revised): 200,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average: 199,000

====================

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Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Consumer Price Index (CPI) for JULY 2026

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July2026:


=========================================

CPI During July2026: 333.918

=========================================

Consumer Price Index (CPI); Headline

Predicted: FLAT

->  
Actual: -0.01% ( -0.034 point)

  • Year-on-Year Change+3.36% (+10.87 points)
[Y-o-Y previous = +3.53%]


=========================================

CPI, Minus Food + Energy (Core CPI)

Predicted: +0.1%

 - > 
Actual: +0.07% (+0.251 point)

  • Year-on-Year Change: +2.48% (+8.153 points)
[Y-o-Y previous = +2.59%]


=========================================

The above, yellow- and blue-highlighted figures represent month-to-month and year-on-year changes (not seasonally adjusted) in prices for a specific group of goods and services that consumers buy, and is, therefore, a very important part of the overall inflation picture for the country.

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

General categories that constitute the CPI are:

  • Healthcare
  • Housing
  • Clothing
  • Communications
  • Education
  • Transportation
  • Food and Beverages
  • Recreation
  • Miscellaneous Goods and Services (grooming expenses, etc.)

========================================

CPI During July, 2025: 323.048

=======================================

CHART: Consumer Price Index 12-Month Percentage Change JULY 2026 Update
CHART: Consumer Price Index
12-Month Percentage Change
JULY 2026 Update

========================================

========================================

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Monday, August 03, 2026

ISM Manufacturing Index for JULY 2026

The Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) released their Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI®) for July 2026:

=========

  • Actual: 55.6% (+2.3 points month-on-month)

=========

Previous month: 53.3%

=========

Every month, the ISM surveys purchasing and supply executives at hundreds of companies across the country who are involved in manufacturing in some form. The resulting index is watched closely by academics, economists and investors because manufacturing accounts for about 12% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The PMI is a reliable barometer of U.S.
manufacturing: A PMI above 50% implies that U.S. manufacturing expanded during the month specified, while a reading below 50% implies that the made-in-the-USA sector contracted.

=========

From Today's Report:

"...Economic activity in the 
manufacturing sector expanded in July for the seventh consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report..."

=========

The Following Is A Sampling Of Quotes
From A Diverse Pool Of U.S. Manufacturers:

  • “We are seeing a very opportunistic and reactive marketplace. If shortage items become available, we opportunistically buy. Some customers are reducing inventory; others are pulling forward demand. As many customers that are slowing down, an equal number are growing. It looks like a lot of shuffling and shifting market share.”
     [Chemical Products]
     
  • “We continue to operate in a favorable demand environment driven by growth in the semiconductor, AI, advanced packaging, and high-performance computing markets. Recent company reports indicate strong sales growth and continued investment in manufacturing capacity, technology and customer-support capabilities. This scenario supports a positive business outlook and creates opportunities to leverage increased purchasing scale across the enterprise.”
     [Computer & Electronic Products]
     
  • “Now that it seems the buildout of AI infrastructure globally is nearing real activation, products going into data centers are at full procurement and manufacturing ramp-up. Thus, demand for our semiconductor end products and connectivity (power, networking and photonics) is booming. Similarly, defense is at an all-time high, with most of our product orders going to these two industries. Order volumes for medical, industrial and consumer products are markedly lower.”
     [Machinery]
  • “Aerospace and defense demand continues to be strong and growing, based on business backlogs. Competing for scare supply -- electronics, certain critical minerals and other categories — is challenging on-time fulfillment for our supply chains. This is expected to get worse with co-dependent sectors also remaining strong and restocking challenges for automotive electronics.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • “Continued tariffs on products utilized in our product lines are being monitored by the business, which is working to mitigate or limit tariff risk. Geopolitical risk, especially in the Middle East, pertaining to commodity and energy markets remains a concern. There has been some increased cost and transit time for rerouted shipments due to conflicts in the Red Sea, Strait of Hormuz and Suez Canal.”
     [Transportation Equipment]
     
  • “Business is still solid; we will increase revenue by 3 percent to 5 percent. We are considering foreign steel purchases for early next year because domestic steel mills are getting greedy.”
     [Fabricated Metal Products]
     
  • “No normalcy in sight in the world of metals. It makes me yearn for the coronavirus pandemic chaos, which was more manageable than whatever this is that we are in.  At least business is better; however, the components of good business are not. Sharp pricing downturns in aluminum will make things more interesting, as supply levels will prevent those decreases from taking hold across the board. Getting customers to understand that is not always easy.”
     [Primary Metals]
     
  • “The pricing volatility and lead-time extensions in this market are arguably worse than the pandemic era. During COVID-19, we saw a surge of price hikes and inventory buy-ups, which caused constraints that eventually leveled out. We are seeing nothing but consistent upward trends for both pricing and lead times that show no signs of slowing down. Specifically, 5-percent to 25-percent price increases for printed circuit board assembly components and 15-percent to 45-percent increases for bare boards are negatively impacting customer demand outlook into next year. This isn’t sustainable.”
     [Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components]
     
  • “Our customers in Asia continue to procure elsewhere to avoid paying a tariff While the Iran [invasion] was paused, it was terrific to see fuel prices (and delivery costs) falling steadily. Now that skirmishes have resumed, we expect fuel to rise again.”
     [Paper Products]
     
  • “Definitely a downturn within several of our business units, mainly the consumer products division. High freight costs, both for truck and ocean, and longer lead times are concerning. Pricing was moving downward until the Iran [invasion] started again.
     [Chemical Products]

==========


CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index - JULY 2026 Update
CHART: ISM Manufacturing Index
JULY 2026 Update
=========

DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index 12-Month History - JULY 2026 Update
DATA: ISM Manufacturing Index
12-Month History
JULY 2026 Update
=========
 

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