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Economy

Economic Data (USA)

Monday, November 04, 2024

PCE Price Index + Personal Income + Consumer Spending Report for September 2024

The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its report on The PCE Price Index, Consumer Spending and Personal Income for  September, 2024:

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Consumer Spending (Personal Consumption Expenditures)

Previous Reading: +0.3%
  • Actual: +0.5%
  • Actual: (2017 Chained* Dollars): +0.4%
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Personal Income

Previous Reading: +0.2%
  • Actual: +0.3%
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  • Disposable Personal Income (DPI), Now Dollars: +0.3%
  • DPI (2017 Chained* Dollars): +0.1%

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The above highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in Consumer Spending (aka Personal Consumption Expenditures), Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income for the entire United States.

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Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
Previous Reading: +0.1%
  • Actual: +0.2% 
  • Change from 12 months previous: +2.1%
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Core PCE Price Index
( = PCE Price Index minus food and energy)
Previous Reading: +0.2%
  • Actual: +0.3%
  • Change from 12 months previous: +2.7%
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The yellow-highlighted percentages represent the month-to-month change in the prices associated with domestic personal consumption.  The PCE Price Index is different from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in that it is a very broad measure of the prices associated with domestic products and services, while the CPI measures a more limited fixed basket of goods and services.

The broad nature of the PCE Price Index is key to why it is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.  The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) pays very close attention to it.

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The "predicted" figures are what economists were expecting, while the "actual" figures are the true or real figure.

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Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Video:
What Is Personal Income?

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*Chained dollars is a method of adjusting real dollar amounts for inflation over time, so as to allow comparison of figures from different years. The Commerce Department introduced the chained-dollar measure in 1996. Chained dollars generally reflect dollar figures computed with 2012 as the base year.

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Friday, November 01, 2024

Employment Situation Report for October 2024

The Employment Situation Report for October 2024 was released by The Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning:

Nonfarm Payrolls (month-to-month change)
Actual: +12,000
Previous Month (Revised): 223,000
One Year Previous: 165,000

U-3 Unemployment Rate (Headline)
Actual: 4.1%
Previous Month: 4.1%
12 Months Previous: 3.8%

U-6 Unemployment Rate*
Actual: 7.7%
Previous Month: 7.7%
12 Months Previous: 7.2%

Average Hourly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Predicted: +0.4%
Actual: +0.37% (+$0.13)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Predicted: +4.1%
Actual: +3.99% (+$1.36)

Average Weekly Earnings (month-to-month change)
Actual: +
0.37% (+$4.46)

Average Weekly Earnings (year-on-year change)
Actual: +3.99% (+$46.65)

Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.6%
Previous Month: 62.7%
12 Months Previous: 62.7%

Average Workweek: 34.3 hours
Previous Month: 34.3 hours
One Year Previous: 34.3 hours

Economist, academics, central bankers and investors pay very close attention to the monthly Employment Situation report as it offers penetrating insight as to the current and near-future state of the overall U.S. economy. If a) Americans are earning more money and b) the economy is creating new jobs, this typically translates to more money being pumped into the economy (and vice versa.)

The "predicted" figure is what economists were expecting, while the "actual" is the true or real figure.

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CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate - OCTOBER 2004 THRU OCTOBER 2024

CHART: Civilian Unemployment Rate

OCTOBER 2004 THRU OCTOBER 2024
   ===================

 * =  The U-6 Unemployment Rate is defined as:

"Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force."

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Challenger Job Cuts Report for October 2024

The global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray and Christmas, Inc. released its job cuts report, for October 2024:

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Job Cuts Announced During October 2024: 55,597

  • Previous month: 72,821
  • Change from previous month: -23.65% (-17,224 cuts)
  • One-Year Previous: 36,836 
  • Change from one year previous: +50.9% (+18,761 cuts)

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If corporate layoffs are high, consumer spending may decline, since there would be fewer people with steady jobs.

When corporate layoffs are low, this can mean that the job market is relatively tight, which can be a harbinger of wage inflation.

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www.FedPrimeRate.com - Challenger Report - Announced Jobs Cuts October 2024 UPDATE
Challenger Report - Announced Jobs Cuts
October 2024 UPDATE

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www.FedPrimeRate.com - Challenger Report - Month by Month TOTALS October 2024 UPDATE
Challenger Report - Month by Month TOTALS
October 2024 UPDATE
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www.FedPrimeRate.com - Job Cuts by INDUSTRY YTD 2023 Thru YTD 2024 October 2024 UPDATE
 Job Cuts by INDUSTRY
YTD 2023 Thru YTD 2024
October 2024 UPDATE
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